Consensus Won β
Smart money consensus was Up β and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET
Resolved Up. 79% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.
π
Won
14
Up 79%
$2.2K
$44.46
Smart Money Signal
11 of 14 top traders (79%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%9 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
HS Hsilverbasher | Upavg 63.9Β’ | $1.0K | $1.2K | +$188.12 | 12% 17934-132761 (150695) |
TR trdyugiolkw | Upavg 65.2Β’ | $621.19 | $622.4 | +$1.21 | 57% 10093-7573 (17666) |
TM tmsd-testCTR | Downavg 41.1Β’ | $198.85 | β | -$198.85 | 54% 14340-12139 (26479) |
0X 0xcE25E214D5cfE4f459cf67F08DF581885AAE7Fdc-1777575398144 | Upavg 95Β’ | $123.5 | $130 | +$6.5 | 73% 94998-35627 (130625) |
UN uninformedfloww | Upavg 42.3Β’ | $53.25 | $125.94 | +$72.69 | 57% 69604-52928 (122532) |
WZ wzbbbCTR<$100 | Downavg 64Β’ | $49.9 | β | -$49.9 | 57% 7509-5775 (13284) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Upavg 49.4Β’ | $41.29 | $50.42 | +$9.13 | 66% 124340-64008 (188348) |
![]() UpandDownSyndrome<$100 | Upavg 76.4Β’ | $12.48 | $16.34 | +$3.86 | 63% 51064-30076 (81140) |
AS asidjasiodja<$100 | Upavg 75.2Β’ | $17.37 | $23.11 | +$5.74 | 61% 93726-58934 (152660) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Upavg 87Β’ | $13.89 | $15.97 | +$2.08 | 65% 21441-11773 (33214) |
PB PBot-6CTR<$100 | Downavg 49Β’ | $7.78 | β | -$7.78 | 58% 50745-36872 (87617) |
![]() MayorMamdani<$100 | Upavg 47Β’ | $4.7 | $10 | +$5.3 | 55% 43943-36416 (80359) |
DV dvasdkasodk<$100 | Upavg 48Β’ | $3.43 | $7.15 | +$3.72 | 52% 89215-83682 (172897) |
RL RLWG<$100 | Upavg 47Β’ | $2.35 | $5 | +$2.65 | 50% 7625-7648 (15273) |
Invested
$1,032.25
Value
$1.2K
PnL
+$188.12
Record
12%
17934-132761 (150695)
Invested
$621.19
Value
$622.4
PnL
+$1.21
Record
57%
10093-7573 (17666)
Invested
$198.85
Value
β
PnL
-$198.85
Record
54%
14340-12139 (26479)
Invested
$123.5
Value
$130
PnL
+$6.5
Record
73%
94998-35627 (130625)
Invested
$53.25
Value
$125.94
PnL
+$72.69
Record
57%
69604-52928 (122532)
Invested
$49.9
Value
β
PnL
-$49.9
Record
57%
7509-5775 (13284)
Invested
$41.29
Value
$50.42
PnL
+$9.13
Record
66%
124340-64008 (188348)
UpandDownSyndrome<$100Invested
$12.48
Value
$16.34
PnL
+$3.86
Record
63%
51064-30076 (81140)
Invested
$17.37
Value
$23.11
PnL
+$5.74
Record
61%
93726-58934 (152660)
Invested
$13.89
Value
$15.97
PnL
+$2.08
Record
65%
21441-11773 (33214)
Invested
$7.78
Value
β
PnL
-$7.78
Record
58%
50745-36872 (87617)
MayorMamdani<$100Invested
$4.7
Value
$10
PnL
+$5.3
Record
55%
43943-36416 (80359)
Invested
$3.43
Value
$7.15
PnL
+$3.72
Record
52%
89215-83682 (172897)
Invested
$2.35
Value
$5
PnL
+$2.65
Record
50%
7625-7648 (15273)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
Hsilverbasher
Up β $1.2K
trdyugiolkw
Up β $622.4
tmsd-test
CTRDown β $0
0xcE25E214D5cfE4f459cf67F08DF581885AAE7Fdc-1777575398144
Up β $130
uninformedfloww
Up β $125.94
wzbbb
CTRDown β $0
asdaefef
Up β $50.42

UpandDownSyndrome
Up β $16.34
asidjasiodja
Up β $23.11
aaa221
Up β $15.97