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Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET

Resolved Down. 45% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.

View on Polymarket
RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

22

Down 43%

1 arb excluded

Total Value

$2.6K

Combined PnL

-$460.7

Smart Money Signal

Down

10 of 22 top traders (45%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed12 hold an outcome priced under 50%17 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity
Loading chart data…

Outcome Probabilities

Up0%
Down100%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Down10 traders
Total Value$2.5K
Total Shares2,530
Combined PnL+$201.59
Up12 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares888
Combined PnL-$662.29
Down — 45%Up — 55%
HO
hoodquant
Down

Invested

$1,379.07

Value

$1.4K

PnL

+$13.93

Record

93%

22393-1721 (24114)

TR
trdyugiolkw
Down

Invested

$614.9

Value

$576.1

PnL

-$38.8

Record

57%

10059-7541 (17600)

WZ
wzbbb
Down

Invested

$116.64

Value

$265

PnL

+$148.36

Record

57%

7465-5727 (13192)

MayorMamdaniCTR
Up

Invested

$200.13

Value

—

PnL

-$200.13

Record

55%

43850-36279 (80129)

HS
HsilverbasherCTR<$100
Up

Invested

$85.18

Value

—

PnL

-$85.18

Record

12%

17900-132721 (150621)

PE
peepeepoopoo24<$100
Down

Invested

$67

Value

$70

PnL

+$3

Record

57%

6519-4829 (11348)

AS
aswfadq1555ARB<$100
Up

Invested

$64.74

Value

$73.67

PnL

+$8.93

Record

54%

15135-13044 (28179)

Both legs:

Down$28.9939.4¢+$44.68
Up$35.7566.2¢-$35.75
AS
asdaefef<$100
Down

Invested

$50.75

Value

$50.98

PnL

+$0.23

Record

66%

124187-63928 (188115)

AS
asidjasiodja<$100
Down

Invested

$50.51

Value

$48.1

PnL

-$2.41

Record

61%

93594-58851 (152445)

UpandDownSyndrome<$100
Down

Invested

$52.87

Value

$42.44

PnL

+$32.02

Record

63%

50863-30019 (80882)

BO
BonereaperCTR<$100
Up

Invested

$40.07

Value

—

PnL

-$40.07

Record

66%

98425-50873 (149298)

wowitsamazingCTR<$100
Up

Invested

$36.75

Value

—

PnL

-$36.75

Record

58%

12473-9135 (21608)

0X
0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025<$100
Down

Invested

$37.27

Value

$74.54

PnL

+$37.27

Record

58%

60017-43815 (103832)

UN
uninformedflowwCTR
Up

Invested

$234.3

Value

—

PnL

-$234.3

Record

57%

69304-52749 (122053)

DV
dvasdkasodkCTR<$100
Up

Invested

$26.62

Value

—

PnL

-$26.62

Record

52%

89083-83565 (172648)

DR
drfc4eybh7i8CTR<$100
Up

Invested

$22.3

Value

—

PnL

-$22.3

Record

65%

123904-66250 (190154)

G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100
Up

Invested

$7.4

Value

—

PnL

-$7.4

Record

62%

43532-26459 (69991)

RL
RLWG<$100
Down

Invested

$5.2

Value

$10

PnL

+$4.8

Record

50%

7602-7622 (15224)

0X
0x06b2934b382D4429D50d7239eE375a76167f9f35-1723887278819CTR<$100
Up

Invested

$4.45

Value

—

PnL

-$4.45

Record

47%

381-436 (817)

AtomforgeCTR<$100
Up

Invested

$2.4

Value

—

PnL

-$2.4

Record

65%

3861-2079 (5940)

0X
0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530CTR<$100
Up

Invested

$1.44

Value

—

PnL

-$1.44

Record

56%

57463-44387 (101850)

AS
asabovesobelow2CTR<$100
Up

Invested

$1.25

Value

—

PnL

-$1.25

Record

69%

1582-712 (2294)

AA
aaa221<$100
Down

Invested

$22.92

Value

$0

PnL

+$3.19

Record

65%

21073-11552 (32625)

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Market Info

Condition ID
0x894b7df4...529d03
Slug
btc-updown-15m-1793153700

Traders in this Market

HO

hoodquant

Down — $1.4K

+$13.93
TR

trdyugiolkw

Down — $576.1

-$38.8
WZ

wzbbb

Down — $265

+$148.36

MayorMamdani

CTR

Up — $0

-$200.13
HS

Hsilverbasher

CTR

Up — $0

-$85.18
PE

peepeepoopoo24

Down — $70

+$3
AS

aswfadq1555

ARB

Arbitrage — excluded

+$8.93
AS

asdaefef

Down — $50.98

+$0.23
AS

asidjasiodja

Down — $48.1

-$2.41

UpandDownSyndrome

Down — $42.44

+$32.02
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