Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET
Resolved Up. 71% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
17
Up 71%
1 arb excluded
$3.3K
-$260.36
Smart Money Signal
12 of 17 top traders (71%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed5 hold an outcome priced under 50%13 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 BoneOhio | Upavg 99¢ | $2.4K | $2.4K | +$23.75 | 74% 102029-36289 (138318) |
HO hoodquant | Upavg 98.9¢ | $244.22 | $247 | +$2.78 | 93% 22393-1721 (24114) |
 MayorMamdani | Upavg 74.5¢ | $238.25 | $164.41 | -$73.84 | 55% 43850-36279 (80129) |
0X 0xef9a0ef24gdf3546gheux246dd5gh | Upavg 96.1¢ | $160.05 | $156.75 | -$3.3 | 57% 1303-964 (2267) |
WZ wzbbbARB<$100 | Downavg 42.6¢ | $153.19 | $98.47 | -$54.72 | 57% 7465-5727 (13192) |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 51.9¢ | $51.11 | $98.47 | +$47.37 | |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 42.6¢ | $102.09 | — | -$102.09 | |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Upavg 94.8¢ | $99.12 | $89.29 | -$9.83 | 66% 124187-63928 (188115) |
0X 0xcE25E214D5cfE4f459cf67F08DF581885AAE7Fdc-1777575398144CTR<$100 | Downavg 54.8¢ | $57.55 | — | -$57.55 | 73% 94979-35615 (130594) |
AS aswfadq1555CTR<$100 | Downavg 55.8¢ | $42.36 | — | -$42.36 | 54% 15135-13044 (28179) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530CTR<$100 | Downavg 50.6¢ | $84.45 | — | -$84.45 | 56% 57463-44387 (101850) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Upavg 87.7¢ | $46.85 | $50 | +$3.15 | 65% 123904-66250 (190154) |
AS asidjasiodja<$100 | Upavg 83.8¢ | $45.19 | $35.98 | -$9.21 | 61% 93594-58851 (152445) |
DV dvasdkasodk<$100 | Upavg 93¢ | $26.02 | $23 | -$3.02 | 52% 89083-83565 (172648) |
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025<$100 | Upavg 78¢ | $18.53 | $23.76 | +$5.23 | 58% 60017-43815 (103832) |
PE peepeepoopoo24CTR<$100 | Downavg 66.5¢ | $18.79 | — | -$18.79 | 57% 6519-4829 (11348) |
 UpandDownSyndrome<$100 | Upavg 98¢ | $12.23 | $12.48 | +$0.25 | 63% 50863-30019 (80882) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Upavg 77.7¢ | $24.59 | $11.67 | +$3.7 | 65% 21073-11552 (32625) |
BO Bonereaper<$100 | Upavg 46¢ | $5.06 | $11 | +$5.94 | 66% 98425-50873 (149298) |
 ohioismCTR<$100 | Downavg 28¢ | $2.8 | — | -$2.8 | 64% 39631-22613 (62244) |
BoneOhioInvested
$2,350.93
Value
$2.4K
PnL
+$23.75
Record
74%
102029-36289 (138318)
Invested
$244.22
Value
$247
PnL
+$2.78
Record
93%
22393-1721 (24114)
MayorMamdaniInvested
$238.25
Value
$164.41
PnL
-$73.84
Record
55%
43850-36279 (80129)
Invested
$160.05
Value
$156.75
PnL
-$3.3
Record
57%
1303-964 (2267)
Invested
$153.19
Value
$98.47
PnL
-$54.72
Record
57%
7465-5727 (13192)
Both legs:
Invested
$99.12
Value
$89.29
PnL
-$9.83
Record
66%
124187-63928 (188115)
Invested
$57.55
Value
—
PnL
-$57.55
Record
73%
94979-35615 (130594)
Invested
$42.36
Value
—
PnL
-$42.36
Record
54%
15135-13044 (28179)
Invested
$84.45
Value
—
PnL
-$84.45
Record
56%
57463-44387 (101850)
Invested
$46.85
Value
$50
PnL
+$3.15
Record
65%
123904-66250 (190154)
Invested
$45.19
Value
$35.98
PnL
-$9.21
Record
61%
93594-58851 (152445)
Invested
$26.02
Value
$23
PnL
-$3.02
Record
52%
89083-83565 (172648)
Invested
$18.53
Value
$23.76
PnL
+$5.23
Record
58%
60017-43815 (103832)
Invested
$18.79
Value
—
PnL
-$18.79
Record
57%
6519-4829 (11348)
UpandDownSyndrome<$100Invested
$12.23
Value
$12.48
PnL
+$0.25
Record
63%
50863-30019 (80882)
Invested
$24.59
Value
$11.67
PnL
+$3.7
Record
65%
21073-11552 (32625)
Invested
$5.06
Value
$11
PnL
+$5.94
Record
66%
98425-50873 (149298)
ohioismCTR<$100Invested
$2.8
Value
—
PnL
-$2.8
Record
64%
39631-22613 (62244)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
BoneOhio
Up — $2.4K
hoodquant
Up — $247
MayorMamdani
Up — $164.41
0xef9a0ef24gdf3546gheux246dd5gh
Up — $156.75
wzbbb
ARBArbitrage — excluded
asdaefef
Up — $89.29
0xcE25E214D5cfE4f459cf67F08DF581885AAE7Fdc-1777575398144
CTRDown — $0
aswfadq1555
CTRDown — $0
0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530
CTRDown — $0
drfc4eybh7i8
Up — $50