Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET
Resolved Down. 83% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
18
Down 88%
$14.0K
$244.53
Smart Money Signal
15 of 18 top traders (83%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%10 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0x50f7 | Downavg 99.9¢ | $6.0K | $6.0K | +$6.01 | 59% 61882-42868 (104750) |
 BoneOhio | Downavg 98.9¢ | $3.5K | $3.5K | +$37.7 | 74% 102021-36286 (138307) |
HO hoodquant | Downavg 97.3¢ | $2.8K | $2.9K | +$78.13 | 93% 22362-1721 (24083) |
 MayorMamdani | Downavg 90.3¢ | $627.59 | $661 | +$33.41 | 55% 43829-36245 (80074) |
0X 0xdc27...afdd9a | Downavg 99¢ | $203.5 | $192.14 | -$11.36 | 52% 1961-1777 (3738) |
PE peepeepoopoo24 | Downavg 88.3¢ | $144.63 | $155.19 | +$10.56 | 57% 6515-4824 (11339) |
AS aswfadq1555 | Downavg 73¢ | $108.16 | $125.78 | +$17.61 | 54% 15128-13039 (28167) |
WZ wzbbb | Downavg 76.5¢ | $116.75 | $122.57 | +$5.82 | 57% 7452-5716 (13168) |
RL RLWG<$100 | Downavg 67.9¢ | $66.55 | $95 | +$28.45 | 50% 7594-7617 (15211) |
DV dvasdkasodk<$100 | Downavg 78.3¢ | $41.36 | $52.82 | +$11.46 | 52% 89056-83535 (172591) |
AS asidjasiodja<$100 | Downavg 74.2¢ | $36.22 | $48.78 | +$12.56 | 61% 93558-58834 (152392) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Downavg 92¢ | $28.57 | $20.87 | +$2.47 | 65% 21027-11533 (32560) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Downavg 64.1¢ | $22.97 | $35.85 | +$12.88 | 66% 124150-63912 (188062) |
 UpandDownSyndrome<$100 | Downavg 73.5¢ | $26.29 | $35.76 | +$9.47 | 63% 50847-30010 (80857) |
PB PBot-6CTR<$100 | Upavg 48.7¢ | $14.13 | — | -$14.13 | 58% 50705-36831 (87536) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Downavg 64¢ | $9.6 | $15 | +$5.4 | 65% 123874-66232 (190106) |
JO JocJoCTR<$100 | Upavg 2¢ | $1.9 | — | -$1.9 | 51% 927-889 (1816) |
DE devonpollCTR<$100 | Up | — | — | +$0 | 51% 19689-18852 (38541) |
Invested
$6,002
Value
$6.0K
PnL
+$6.01
Record
59%
61882-42868 (104750)
BoneOhioInvested
$3,463.2
Value
$3.5K
PnL
+$37.7
Record
74%
102021-36286 (138307)
Invested
$2,827.87
Value
$2.9K
PnL
+$78.13
Record
93%
22362-1721 (24083)
MayorMamdaniInvested
$627.59
Value
$661
PnL
+$33.41
Record
55%
43829-36245 (80074)
Invested
$203.5
Value
$192.14
PnL
-$11.36
Record
52%
1961-1777 (3738)
Invested
$144.63
Value
$155.19
PnL
+$10.56
Record
57%
6515-4824 (11339)
Invested
$108.16
Value
$125.78
PnL
+$17.61
Record
54%
15128-13039 (28167)
Invested
$116.75
Value
$122.57
PnL
+$5.82
Record
57%
7452-5716 (13168)
Invested
$66.55
Value
$95
PnL
+$28.45
Record
50%
7594-7617 (15211)
Invested
$41.36
Value
$52.82
PnL
+$11.46
Record
52%
89056-83535 (172591)
Invested
$36.22
Value
$48.78
PnL
+$12.56
Record
61%
93558-58834 (152392)
Invested
$28.57
Value
$20.87
PnL
+$2.47
Record
65%
21027-11533 (32560)
Invested
$22.97
Value
$35.85
PnL
+$12.88
Record
66%
124150-63912 (188062)
UpandDownSyndrome<$100Invested
$26.29
Value
$35.76
PnL
+$9.47
Record
63%
50847-30010 (80857)
Invested
$14.13
Value
—
PnL
-$14.13
Record
58%
50705-36831 (87536)
Invested
$9.6
Value
$15
PnL
+$5.4
Record
65%
123874-66232 (190106)
Invested
$1.9
Value
—
PnL
-$1.9
Record
51%
927-889 (1816)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
51%
19689-18852 (38541)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
0x50f7
Down — $6.0K
BoneOhio
Down — $3.5K
hoodquant
Down — $2.9K
MayorMamdani
Down — $661
0xdc27...afdd9a
Down — $192.14
peepeepoopoo24
Down — $155.19
aswfadq1555
Down — $125.78
wzbbb
Down — $122.57
RLWG
Down — $95
dvasdkasodk
Down — $52.82