Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET
Resolved Up. 74% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
23
Up 73%
1 arb excluded
$2.3K
-$233.01
Smart Money Signal
17 of 23 top traders (74%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed6 hold an outcome priced under 50%13 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
TR trdyugiolkw | Upavg 74.3¢ | $748.22 | $662.92 | -$85.3 | 57% 10049-7530 (17579) |
HO hoodquant | Upavg 99¢ | $407.75 | $412 | +$4.25 | 93% 22338-1719 (24057) |
AS aswfadq1555 | Upavg 71.8¢ | $187.56 | $179.6 | -$7.96 | 54% 15126-13034 (28160) |
TM tmsd-testCTR | Downavg 35.1¢ | $133.8 | — | -$133.8 | 54% 14311-12101 (26412) |
WZ wzbbbARB<$100 | Downavg 28.1¢ | $121.18 | $92.96 | -$28.22 | 57% 7436-5708 (13144) |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 50.5¢ | $46.99 | $92.96 | +$45.97 | |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 28.1¢ | $74.19 | — | -$74.19 | |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518CTR | Downavg 50.9¢ | $115.97 | — | -$115.97 | 58% 37338-26566 (63904) |
PE peepeepoopoo24 | Upavg 79.2¢ | $129.13 | $108.75 | -$20.38 | 57% 6514-4821 (11335) |
HS Hsilverbasher | Upavg 51¢ | $108.78 | $213.3 | +$104.52 | 12% 17890-132710 (150600) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Upavg 71.3¢ | $93.9 | $99.73 | +$5.83 | 66% 124118-63886 (188004) |
 ohioism | Upavg 64.7¢ | $77.63 | $120.05 | +$42.42 | 64% 39618-22602 (62220) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8 | Upavg 78.2¢ | $161 | $79.82 | -$16.29 | 65% 123835-66215 (190050) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530 | Upavg 69¢ | $69.03 | $100.04 | +$31.01 | 56% 57437-44370 (101807) |
DV dvasdkasodk<$100 | Upavg 67.5¢ | $55.72 | $61.93 | +$6.21 | 52% 89030-83502 (172532) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Upavg 65.3¢ | $36.7 | $56.19 | +$19.49 | 65% 20975-11511 (32486) |
AS asidjasiodja<$100 | Upavg 67.4¢ | $49.72 | $62.48 | +$12.76 | 61% 93527-58804 (152331) |
0X 0xdc27...afdd9a<$100 | Upavg 88¢ | $34.46 | $30 | -$4.46 | 52% 1958-1772 (3730) |
RL RLWGCTR<$100 | Downavg 37.5¢ | $25.75 | — | -$25.75 | 50% 7589-7613 (15202) |
PB PBot-6CTR<$100 | Downavg 49¢ | $24.06 | — | -$24.06 | 58% 50695-36819 (87514) |
 MayorMamdani<$100 | Upavg 69.3¢ | $18.02 | $26 | +$7.98 | 55% 43796-36217 (80013) |
DE devonpoll<$100 | Upavg 66.7¢ | $91.35 | $37.03 | -$9.22 | 51% 19680-18843 (38523) |
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025CTR<$100 | Downavg 57¢ | $14.82 | — | -$14.82 | 58% 59994-43795 (103789) |
 Polkadot-FrogCTR<$100 | Downavg 57¢ | $7.65 | — | -$7.65 | 64% 57400-32165 (89565) |
JO JocJo<$100 | Upavg 89¢ | $6.35 | $5.51 | -$0.84 | 51% 927-889 (1816) |
 wowitsamazing<$100 | Upavg 44¢ | $43 | $0.01 | -$0.97 | 58% 12461-9128 (21589) |
Invested
$748.22
Value
$662.92
PnL
-$85.3
Record
57%
10049-7530 (17579)
Invested
$407.75
Value
$412
PnL
+$4.25
Record
93%
22338-1719 (24057)
Invested
$187.56
Value
$179.6
PnL
-$7.96
Record
54%
15126-13034 (28160)
Invested
$133.8
Value
—
PnL
-$133.8
Record
54%
14311-12101 (26412)
Invested
$121.18
Value
$92.96
PnL
-$28.22
Record
57%
7436-5708 (13144)
Both legs:
Invested
$115.97
Value
—
PnL
-$115.97
Record
58%
37338-26566 (63904)
Invested
$129.13
Value
$108.75
PnL
-$20.38
Record
57%
6514-4821 (11335)
Invested
$108.78
Value
$213.3
PnL
+$104.52
Record
12%
17890-132710 (150600)
Invested
$93.9
Value
$99.73
PnL
+$5.83
Record
66%
124118-63886 (188004)
ohioismInvested
$77.63
Value
$120.05
PnL
+$42.42
Record
64%
39618-22602 (62220)
Invested
$161
Value
$79.82
PnL
-$16.29
Record
65%
123835-66215 (190050)
Invested
$69.03
Value
$100.04
PnL
+$31.01
Record
56%
57437-44370 (101807)
Invested
$55.72
Value
$61.93
PnL
+$6.21
Record
52%
89030-83502 (172532)
Invested
$36.7
Value
$56.19
PnL
+$19.49
Record
65%
20975-11511 (32486)
Invested
$49.72
Value
$62.48
PnL
+$12.76
Record
61%
93527-58804 (152331)
Invested
$34.46
Value
$30
PnL
-$4.46
Record
52%
1958-1772 (3730)
Invested
$25.75
Value
—
PnL
-$25.75
Record
50%
7589-7613 (15202)
Invested
$24.06
Value
—
PnL
-$24.06
Record
58%
50695-36819 (87514)
MayorMamdani<$100Invested
$18.02
Value
$26
PnL
+$7.98
Record
55%
43796-36217 (80013)
Invested
$91.35
Value
$37.03
PnL
-$9.22
Record
51%
19680-18843 (38523)
Invested
$14.82
Value
—
PnL
-$14.82
Record
58%
59994-43795 (103789)
Polkadot-FrogCTR<$100Invested
$7.65
Value
—
PnL
-$7.65
Record
64%
57400-32165 (89565)
Invested
$6.35
Value
$5.51
PnL
-$0.84
Record
51%
927-889 (1816)
wowitsamazing<$100Invested
$43
Value
$0.01
PnL
-$0.97
Record
58%
12461-9128 (21589)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
trdyugiolkw
Up — $662.92
hoodquant
Up — $412
aswfadq1555
Up — $179.6
tmsd-test
CTRDown — $0
wzbbb
ARBArbitrage — excluded
0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518
CTRDown — $0
peepeepoopoo24
Up — $108.75
Hsilverbasher
Up — $213.3
asdaefef
Up — $99.73
ohioism
Up — $120.05