Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET
Resolved Up. 75% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
24
Up 75%
2 arb excluded
$8.1K
$742.32
Smart Money Signal
18 of 24 top traders (75%)2 arbitrage traders dimmed6 hold an outcome priced under 50%14 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
AS aswfadq1555 | Upavg 54.9¢ | $1.1K | $1.4K | +$331.65 | 54% 15110-13017 (28127) |
AL almach | Upavg 70.1¢ | $1.1K | $1.6K | +$482.16 | 55% 47823-39403 (87226) |
MO mo-money | Upavg 70.6¢ | $903.46 | $1.3K | +$376.57 | 55% 49869-40477 (90346) |
WZ wzbbb | Upavg 91.5¢ | $1.2K | $1.2K | +$65.74 | 57% 7389-5686 (13075) |
TR trdyugiolkwARB<$100 | Upavg 66.5¢ | $787.77 | $779.68 | -$8.08 | 57% 10019-7512 (17531) |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 66.5¢ | $518.52 | $779.68 | +$261.17 | |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 39.2¢ | $269.25 | — | -$269.25 | |
HO hoodquant | Upavg 98.9¢ | $472.13 | $477.18 | +$5.05 | 93% 22269-1715 (23984) |
TH thesidehustle | Upavg 81.6¢ | $398.34 | $406.39 | +$8.05 | 54% 10142-8602 (18744) |
 wowitsamazingCTR | Downavg 29.3¢ | $408.89 | — | -$408.89 | 58% 12454-9117 (21571) |
 Polkadot-Frog | Upavg 66.3¢ | $296.79 | $293.85 | -$2.94 | 64% 57344-32114 (89458) |
UN uninformedflowwCTR | Downavg 74¢ | $128.8 | — | -$128.8 | 57% 69092-52584 (121676) |
PE peepeepoopoo24ARB<$100 | Upavg 62.7¢ | $96.77 | $96.67 | -$0.1 | 57% 6498-4811 (11309) |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 62.7¢ | $60.57 | $96.67 | +$36.1 | |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 25.9¢ | $36.2 | — | -$36.2 | |
DE devonpoll<$100 | Upavg 76.9¢ | $80.85 | $90.19 | +$20.44 | 51% 19648-18799 (38447) |
HS Hsilverbasher | Upavg 51.1¢ | $62.33 | $121.95 | +$59.62 | 12% 17875-132699 (150574) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Upavg 77.5¢ | $69.83 | $71.23 | +$1.4 | 66% 123993-63821 (187814) |
TM tmsd-testCTR<$100 | Downavg 22¢ | $40.04 | — | -$40.04 | 54% 14294-12088 (26382) |
AS asidjasiodja<$100 | Upavg 78.6¢ | $52.6 | $52.22 | -$0.38 | 61% 93423-58740 (152163) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Upavg 75¢ | $76.86 | $50 | +$8.66 | 65% 123715-66149 (189864) |
DV dvasdkasodk<$100 | Upavg 75.4¢ | $37.53 | $45.13 | +$7.6 | 52% 88930-83410 (172340) |
RL RLWGCTR<$100 | Downavg 34.5¢ | $30.9 | — | -$30.9 | 50% 7576-7601 (15177) |
 UpandDownSyndrome<$100 | Upavg 70.4¢ | $18.25 | $25.91 | +$7.66 | 63% 50719-29966 (80685) |
 ohioism<$100 | Upavg 76¢ | $19.14 | $25.18 | +$6.04 | 64% 39591-22581 (62172) |
0X 0xcE25E214D5cfE4f459cf67F08DF581885AAE7Fdc-1777575398144CTR<$100 | Downavg 33¢ | $16.5 | — | -$16.5 | 73% 94976-35604 (130580) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Upavg 66.5¢ | $56.35 | $19.49 | -$8.52 | 65% 20812-11390 (32202) |
 MayorMamdani<$100 | Upavg 73.9¢ | $11.17 | $11.09 | -$0.08 | 55% 43713-36124 (79837) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530<$100 | Upavg 75¢ | $3.75 | $5 | +$1.25 | 56% 57395-44340 (101735) |
Invested
$1,117.5
Value
$1.4K
PnL
+$331.65
Record
54%
15110-13017 (28127)
Invested
$1,131.59
Value
$1.6K
PnL
+$482.16
Record
55%
47823-39403 (87226)
Invested
$903.46
Value
$1.3K
PnL
+$376.57
Record
55%
49869-40477 (90346)
Invested
$1,158.11
Value
$1.2K
PnL
+$65.74
Record
57%
7389-5686 (13075)
Invested
$787.77
Value
$779.68
PnL
-$8.08
Record
57%
10019-7512 (17531)
Both legs:
Invested
$472.13
Value
$477.18
PnL
+$5.05
Record
93%
22269-1715 (23984)
Invested
$398.34
Value
$406.39
PnL
+$8.05
Record
54%
10142-8602 (18744)
wowitsamazingCTRInvested
$408.89
Value
—
PnL
-$408.89
Record
58%
12454-9117 (21571)
Polkadot-FrogInvested
$296.79
Value
$293.85
PnL
-$2.94
Record
64%
57344-32114 (89458)
Invested
$128.8
Value
—
PnL
-$128.8
Record
57%
69092-52584 (121676)
Invested
$96.77
Value
$96.67
PnL
-$0.1
Record
57%
6498-4811 (11309)
Both legs:
Invested
$80.85
Value
$90.19
PnL
+$20.44
Record
51%
19648-18799 (38447)
Invested
$62.33
Value
$121.95
PnL
+$59.62
Record
12%
17875-132699 (150574)
Invested
$69.83
Value
$71.23
PnL
+$1.4
Record
66%
123993-63821 (187814)
Invested
$40.04
Value
—
PnL
-$40.04
Record
54%
14294-12088 (26382)
Invested
$52.6
Value
$52.22
PnL
-$0.38
Record
61%
93423-58740 (152163)
Invested
$76.86
Value
$50
PnL
+$8.66
Record
65%
123715-66149 (189864)
Invested
$37.53
Value
$45.13
PnL
+$7.6
Record
52%
88930-83410 (172340)
Invested
$30.9
Value
—
PnL
-$30.9
Record
50%
7576-7601 (15177)
UpandDownSyndrome<$100Invested
$18.25
Value
$25.91
PnL
+$7.66
Record
63%
50719-29966 (80685)
ohioism<$100Invested
$19.14
Value
$25.18
PnL
+$6.04
Record
64%
39591-22581 (62172)
Invested
$16.5
Value
—
PnL
-$16.5
Record
73%
94976-35604 (130580)
Invested
$56.35
Value
$19.49
PnL
-$8.52
Record
65%
20812-11390 (32202)
MayorMamdani<$100Invested
$11.17
Value
$11.09
PnL
-$0.08
Record
55%
43713-36124 (79837)
Invested
$3.75
Value
$5
PnL
+$1.25
Record
56%
57395-44340 (101735)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
aswfadq1555
Up — $1.4K
almach
Up — $1.6K
mo-money
Up — $1.3K
wzbbb
Up — $1.2K
trdyugiolkw
ARBArbitrage — excluded
hoodquant
Up — $477.18
thesidehustle
Up — $406.39
wowitsamazing
CTRDown — $0
Polkadot-Frog
Up — $293.85
uninformedfloww
CTRDown — $0