Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET
Resolved Up. 68% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
22
Up 68%
1 arb excluded
$3.2K
-$597.87
Smart Money Signal
15 of 22 top traders (68%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed7 hold an outcome priced under 50%16 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
HO hoodquant | Upavg 99¢ | $1.5K | $1.5K | +$15.11 | 93% 22269-1715 (23984) |
WZ wzbbb | Upavg 93.6¢ | $504.48 | $486.99 | -$17.49 | 57% 7389-5686 (13075) |
TR trdyugiolkw | Upavg 61.8¢ | $409.35 | $393.1 | -$16.25 | 57% 10019-7512 (17531) |
TH thesidehustle | Upavg 82.4¢ | $304.44 | $302 | -$2.44 | 54% 10142-8602 (18744) |
AS aswfadq1555CTR | Downavg 16.2¢ | $317.12 | — | -$317.12 | 54% 15110-13017 (28127) |
DE devonpollCTR<$100 | Down | — | — | -$119.03 | 51% 19648-18799 (38447) |
 Polkadot-Frog | Upavg 67.1¢ | $117.97 | $110 | -$7.97 | 64% 57344-32114 (89458) |
0X 0xcE25E214D5cfE4f459cf67F08DF581885AAE7Fdc-1777575398144CTR<$100 | Downavg 30.8¢ | $61.71 | — | -$61.71 | 73% 94976-35604 (130580) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8ARB<$100 | Upavg 60¢ | $98.13 | $102.34 | +$4.97 | 65% 123715-66149 (189864) |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 60¢ | $61.4 | $102.34 | +$40.73 | |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 71.9¢ | $35.76 | — | -$35.76 | |
UN uninformedflowwCTR<$100 | Downavg 32.5¢ | $68.32 | — | -$68.32 | 57% 69092-52584 (121676) |
PE peepeepoopoo24<$100 | Upavg 66.5¢ | $49.91 | $51.5 | +$1.59 | 57% 6498-4811 (11309) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530<$100 | Upavg 64.4¢ | $44.22 | $68.7 | +$24.48 | 56% 57395-44340 (101735) |
AS asidjasiodja<$100 | Upavg 74.7¢ | $46.4 | $45.46 | -$0.94 | 61% 93423-58740 (152163) |
 wowitsamazingCTR<$100 | Downavg 49.9¢ | $36.75 | — | -$36.75 | 58% 12454-9117 (21571) |
 G-Penis-Monster<$100 | Upavg 60¢ | $35.95 | $59.91 | +$23.96 | 62% 43491-26415 (69906) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Upavg 63.4¢ | $32.83 | $34.35 | +$1.52 | 66% 123993-63821 (187814) |
DV dvasdkasodk<$100 | Upavg 66¢ | $32.4 | $27 | -$5.4 | 52% 88930-83410 (172340) |
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025<$100 | Upavg 74¢ | $23.68 | $32 | +$8.32 | 58% 59958-43771 (103729) |
AA aaa221CTR<$100 | Downavg 28.2¢ | $23.34 | — | -$23.34 | 65% 20812-11390 (32202) |
 Atomforge<$100 | Upavg 66¢ | $8.58 | $13 | +$4.42 | 65% 3820-2062 (5882) |
 MayorMamdaniCTR<$100 | Downavg 41¢ | $4.1 | — | -$4.1 | 55% 43713-36124 (79837) |
AS asabovesobelow2<$100 | Upavg 66¢ | $4.25 | $6.44 | +$2.19 | 69% 1574-710 (2284) |
RL RLWG<$100 | Upavg 72¢ | $3.6 | $5 | +$1.4 | 50% 7576-7601 (15177) |
Invested
$1,495.89
Value
$1.5K
PnL
+$15.11
Record
93%
22269-1715 (23984)
Invested
$504.48
Value
$486.99
PnL
-$17.49
Record
57%
7389-5686 (13075)
Invested
$409.35
Value
$393.1
PnL
-$16.25
Record
57%
10019-7512 (17531)
Invested
$304.44
Value
$302
PnL
-$2.44
Record
54%
10142-8602 (18744)
Invested
$317.12
Value
—
PnL
-$317.12
Record
54%
15110-13017 (28127)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
-$119.03
Record
51%
19648-18799 (38447)
Polkadot-FrogInvested
$117.97
Value
$110
PnL
-$7.97
Record
64%
57344-32114 (89458)
Invested
$61.71
Value
—
PnL
-$61.71
Record
73%
94976-35604 (130580)
Invested
$98.13
Value
$102.34
PnL
+$4.97
Record
65%
123715-66149 (189864)
Both legs:
Invested
$68.32
Value
—
PnL
-$68.32
Record
57%
69092-52584 (121676)
Invested
$49.91
Value
$51.5
PnL
+$1.59
Record
57%
6498-4811 (11309)
Invested
$44.22
Value
$68.7
PnL
+$24.48
Record
56%
57395-44340 (101735)
Invested
$46.4
Value
$45.46
PnL
-$0.94
Record
61%
93423-58740 (152163)
wowitsamazingCTR<$100Invested
$36.75
Value
—
PnL
-$36.75
Record
58%
12454-9117 (21571)
G-Penis-Monster<$100Invested
$35.95
Value
$59.91
PnL
+$23.96
Record
62%
43491-26415 (69906)
Invested
$32.83
Value
$34.35
PnL
+$1.52
Record
66%
123993-63821 (187814)
Invested
$32.4
Value
$27
PnL
-$5.4
Record
52%
88930-83410 (172340)
Invested
$23.68
Value
$32
PnL
+$8.32
Record
58%
59958-43771 (103729)
Invested
$23.34
Value
—
PnL
-$23.34
Record
65%
20812-11390 (32202)
Atomforge<$100Invested
$8.58
Value
$13
PnL
+$4.42
Record
65%
3820-2062 (5882)
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100Invested
$4.1
Value
—
PnL
-$4.1
Record
55%
43713-36124 (79837)
Invested
$4.25
Value
$6.44
PnL
+$2.19
Record
69%
1574-710 (2284)
Invested
$3.6
Value
$5
PnL
+$1.4
Record
50%
7576-7601 (15177)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
hoodquant
Up — $1.5K
wzbbb
Up — $486.99
trdyugiolkw
Up — $393.1
thesidehustle
Up — $302
aswfadq1555
CTRDown — $0
devonpoll
CTRDown — $0
Polkadot-Frog
Up — $110
0xcE25E214D5cfE4f459cf67F08DF581885AAE7Fdc-1777575398144
CTRDown — $0
drfc4eybh7i8
ARBArbitrage — excluded
uninformedfloww
CTRDown — $0