Consensus Won β
Smart money consensus was Up β and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET
Resolved Up. 75% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.
π
Won
16
Up 73%
$4.2K
-$190.93
Smart Money Signal
12 of 16 top traders (75%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%11 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
HO hoodquant | Upavg 99Β’ | $1.8K | $1.8K | +$17.7 | 93% 22201-1713 (23914) |
WZ wzbbb | Upavg 97.9Β’ | $1.3K | $1.3K | +$13.73 | 56% 7359-5668 (13027) |
TR trdyugiolkw | Upavg 83.8Β’ | $680.65 | $696.27 | +$15.62 | 57% 9998-7502 (17500) |
UN uninformedfloww | Upavg 65Β’ | $135.46 | $160.33 | +$24.87 | 57% 68891-52429 (121320) |
![]() MayorMamdani<$100 | Upavg 87.5Β’ | $70.87 | $81 | +$10.13 | 55% 43651-36077 (79728) |
AS aswfadq1555CTR | Downavg 22.8Β’ | $219.22 | β | -$219.22 | 54% 15092-13011 (28103) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Upavg 80Β’ | $39.27 | $44.94 | +$5.67 | 66% 123902-63779 (187681) |
PE peepeepoopoo24<$100 | Upavg 86.5Β’ | $38.08 | $40 | +$1.92 | 57% 6489-4803 (11292) |
![]() wowitsamazingCTR<$100 | Downavg 53Β’ | $38.25 | β | -$38.25 | 58% 12450-9109 (21559) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Upavg 90.3Β’ | $28.98 | $32.1 | +$3.12 | 65% 20711-11321 (32032) |
AS asidjasiodja<$100 | Upavg 87Β’ | $22.7 | $26.09 | +$3.39 | 61% 93357-58685 (152042) |
DV dvasdkasodk<$100 | Upavg 90Β’ | $22.93 | $19 | -$3.93 | 52% 88881-83328 (172209) |
![]() Polkadot-FrogCTR<$100 | Downavg 7.4Β’ | $18.82 | β | -$18.82 | 64% 57269-32043 (89312) |
![]() UpandDownSyndrome<$100 | Upavg 99Β’ | $13.25 | $13.38 | +$0.13 | 63% 50673-29929 (80602) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8CTR<$100 | Downavg 14Β’ | $7 | β | -$7 | 65% 123648-66111 (189759) |
DE devonpoll<$100 | Up | β | β | +$0 | 51% 19610-18785 (38395) |
Invested
$1,752.3
Value
$1.8K
PnL
+$17.7
Record
93%
22201-1713 (23914)
Invested
$1,323.27
Value
$1.3K
PnL
+$13.73
Record
56%
7359-5668 (13027)
Invested
$680.65
Value
$696.27
PnL
+$15.62
Record
57%
9998-7502 (17500)
Invested
$135.46
Value
$160.33
PnL
+$24.87
Record
57%
68891-52429 (121320)
MayorMamdani<$100Invested
$70.87
Value
$81
PnL
+$10.13
Record
55%
43651-36077 (79728)
Invested
$219.22
Value
β
PnL
-$219.22
Record
54%
15092-13011 (28103)
Invested
$39.27
Value
$44.94
PnL
+$5.67
Record
66%
123902-63779 (187681)
Invested
$38.08
Value
$40
PnL
+$1.92
Record
57%
6489-4803 (11292)
wowitsamazingCTR<$100Invested
$38.25
Value
β
PnL
-$38.25
Record
58%
12450-9109 (21559)
Invested
$28.98
Value
$32.1
PnL
+$3.12
Record
65%
20711-11321 (32032)
Invested
$22.7
Value
$26.09
PnL
+$3.39
Record
61%
93357-58685 (152042)
Invested
$22.93
Value
$19
PnL
-$3.93
Record
52%
88881-83328 (172209)
Polkadot-FrogCTR<$100Invested
$18.82
Value
β
PnL
-$18.82
Record
64%
57269-32043 (89312)
UpandDownSyndrome<$100Invested
$13.25
Value
$13.38
PnL
+$0.13
Record
63%
50673-29929 (80602)
Invested
$7
Value
β
PnL
-$7
Record
65%
123648-66111 (189759)
Invested
β
Value
β
PnL
+$0
Record
51%
19610-18785 (38395)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
hoodquant
Up β $1.8K
wzbbb
Up β $1.3K
trdyugiolkw
Up β $696.27
uninformedfloww
Up β $160.33

MayorMamdani
Up β $81
aswfadq1555
CTRDown β $0
asdaefef
Up β $44.94
peepeepoopoo24
Up β $40

wowitsamazing
CTRDown β $0
aaa221
Up β $32.1