Consensus Won β
Smart money consensus was Down β and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET
Resolved Down. 47% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
π
Won
17
Down 47%
$2.6K
-$468.6
Smart Money Signal
8 of 17 top traders (47%)9 hold an outcome priced under 50%13 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
WZ wzbbb | Downavg 98.4Β’ | $1.6K | $1.6K | +$17.58 | 56% 7359-5668 (13027) |
HO hoodquant | Downavg 99Β’ | $731.61 | $739 | +$7.39 | 93% 22201-1713 (23914) |
TR trdyugiolkwCTR | Upavg 18Β’ | $329.32 | β | -$329.32 | 57% 9998-7502 (17500) |
AS aswfadq1555CTR | Upavg 19.1Β’ | $142.81 | β | -$142.81 | 54% 15092-13011 (28103) |
![]() Polkadot-Frog<$100 | Downavg 43.7Β’ | $77.35 | $90 | +$12.65 | 64% 57269-32043 (89312) |
PE peepeepoopoo24<$100 | Downavg 66.6Β’ | $41.3 | $50 | +$8.7 | 57% 6489-4803 (11292) |
![]() wowitsamazingCTR<$100 | Upavg 50.9Β’ | $37.5 | β | -$37.5 | 58% 12450-9109 (21559) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Downavg 65Β’ | $23.97 | $29.78 | +$5.81 | 66% 123902-63779 (187681) |
RL RLWGCTR<$100 | Upavg 37.6Β’ | $22.54 | β | -$22.54 | 50% 7573-7597 (15170) |
AS asidjasiodja<$100 | Downavg 71Β’ | $18.9 | $21.13 | +$2.23 | 61% 93357-58685 (152042) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Downavg 38Β’ | $11.4 | $30 | +$18.6 | 65% 123648-66111 (189759) |
AA aaa221CTR<$100 | Upavg 47Β’ | $11.71 | β | -$11.71 | 65% 20711-11321 (32032) |
DV dvasdkasodkCTR<$100 | Upavg 28.4Β’ | $11.6 | β | -$11.6 | 52% 88881-83328 (172209) |
![]() ohioismCTR<$100 | Upavg 10Β’ | $5 | β | -$5 | 64% 39575-22571 (62146) |
UN uninformedflowwCTR<$100 | Upavg 35Β’ | $3.93 | β | -$3.93 | 57% 68891-52429 (121320) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530<$100 | Downavg 37Β’ | $3.65 | $9.86 | +$6.21 | 56% 57363-44319 (101682) |
DE devonpollCTR<$100 | Upavg 20.8Β’ | $35.55 | β | +$16.65 | 51% 19610-18785 (38395) |
Invested
$1,600.58
Value
$1.6K
PnL
+$17.58
Record
56%
7359-5668 (13027)
Invested
$731.61
Value
$739
PnL
+$7.39
Record
93%
22201-1713 (23914)
Invested
$329.32
Value
β
PnL
-$329.32
Record
57%
9998-7502 (17500)
Invested
$142.81
Value
β
PnL
-$142.81
Record
54%
15092-13011 (28103)
Polkadot-Frog<$100Invested
$77.35
Value
$90
PnL
+$12.65
Record
64%
57269-32043 (89312)
Invested
$41.3
Value
$50
PnL
+$8.7
Record
57%
6489-4803 (11292)
wowitsamazingCTR<$100Invested
$37.5
Value
β
PnL
-$37.5
Record
58%
12450-9109 (21559)
Invested
$23.97
Value
$29.78
PnL
+$5.81
Record
66%
123902-63779 (187681)
Invested
$22.54
Value
β
PnL
-$22.54
Record
50%
7573-7597 (15170)
Invested
$18.9
Value
$21.13
PnL
+$2.23
Record
61%
93357-58685 (152042)
Invested
$11.4
Value
$30
PnL
+$18.6
Record
65%
123648-66111 (189759)
Invested
$11.71
Value
β
PnL
-$11.71
Record
65%
20711-11321 (32032)
Invested
$11.6
Value
β
PnL
-$11.6
Record
52%
88881-83328 (172209)
ohioismCTR<$100Invested
$5
Value
β
PnL
-$5
Record
64%
39575-22571 (62146)
Invested
$3.93
Value
β
PnL
-$3.93
Record
57%
68891-52429 (121320)
Invested
$3.65
Value
$9.86
PnL
+$6.21
Record
56%
57363-44319 (101682)
Invested
$35.55
Value
β
PnL
+$16.65
Record
51%
19610-18785 (38395)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
wzbbb
Down β $1.6K
hoodquant
Down β $739
trdyugiolkw
CTRUp β $0
aswfadq1555
CTRUp β $0

Polkadot-Frog
Down β $90
peepeepoopoo24
Down β $50

wowitsamazing
CTRUp β $0
asdaefef
Down β $29.78
RLWG
CTRUp β $0
asidjasiodja
Down β $21.13