Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET
Resolved Up. 50% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
18
Up 47%
1 arb excluded
$2.0K
-$2.88
Smart Money Signal
9 of 18 top traders (50%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed9 hold an outcome priced under 50%14 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
TR trdyugiolkw | Upavg 76¢ | $831.57 | $800.32 | -$31.26 | 57% 9987-7495 (17482) |
UN uninformedfloww | Upavg 73.7¢ | $422.35 | $528.39 | +$106.04 | 57% 68886-52428 (121314) |
0X 0xcE25E214D5cfE4f459cf67F08DF581885AAE7Fdc-1777575398144 | Upavg 90¢ | $215.59 | $239.66 | +$24.07 | 73% 94969-35600 (130569) |
PE peepeepoopoo24 | Upavg 71.8¢ | $108.39 | $108.03 | -$0.35 | 57% 6482-4800 (11282) |
AS aswfadq1555ARB<$100 | Upavg 68.3¢ | $118.23 | $105.7 | -$12.53 | 54% 15091-13000 (28091) |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 68.3¢ | $72.15 | $105.7 | +$33.55 | |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 48¢ | $46.08 | — | -$46.08 | |
WZ wzbbb<$100 | Upavg 68.6¢ | $85.41 | $98.58 | +$13.17 | 56% 7346-5657 (13003) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Upavg 79.5¢ | $48.55 | $47.18 | -$1.37 | 66% 123851-63765 (187616) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Upavg 74.5¢ | $45.12 | $53.05 | +$10.25 | 65% 20670-11287 (31957) |
RL RLWGCTR<$100 | Downavg 33.4¢ | $20.88 | — | -$20.88 | 50% 7569-7594 (15163) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8CTR<$100 | Downavg 54.4¢ | $27.3 | — | -$27.3 | 65% 123614-66086 (189700) |
 BoneOhioCTR<$100 | Downavg 38¢ | $19.06 | — | -$19.06 | 74% 101930-36258 (138188) |
 G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100 | Downavg 49¢ | $12.5 | — | -$12.5 | 62% 43463-26375 (69838) |
 MayorMamdaniCTR<$100 | Downavg 23.1¢ | $15.02 | — | -$15.02 | 55% 43615-36054 (79669) |
DV dvasdkasodkCTR<$100 | Downavg 20.8¢ | $10.96 | — | -$10.96 | 52% 88842-83309 (172151) |
HO hoodquant<$100 | Upavg 99¢ | $5.94 | $6 | +$0.06 | 93% 22173-1710 (23883) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530CTR<$100 | Downavg 37¢ | $7.4 | — | -$7.4 | 56% 57352-44305 (101657) |
AS asidjasiodjaCTR<$100 | Downavg 20.6¢ | $6.47 | — | -$6.47 | 61% 93307-58673 (151980) |
 wowitsamazingCTR<$100 | Downavg 48.2¢ | $3.9 | — | -$3.9 | 58% 12444-9107 (21551) |
DE devonpoll<$100 | Upavg 81.4¢ | — | — | +$0 | 51% 19588-18771 (38359) |
Invested
$831.57
Value
$800.32
PnL
-$31.26
Record
57%
9987-7495 (17482)
Invested
$422.35
Value
$528.39
PnL
+$106.04
Record
57%
68886-52428 (121314)
Invested
$215.59
Value
$239.66
PnL
+$24.07
Record
73%
94969-35600 (130569)
Invested
$108.39
Value
$108.03
PnL
-$0.35
Record
57%
6482-4800 (11282)
Invested
$118.23
Value
$105.7
PnL
-$12.53
Record
54%
15091-13000 (28091)
Both legs:
Invested
$85.41
Value
$98.58
PnL
+$13.17
Record
56%
7346-5657 (13003)
Invested
$48.55
Value
$47.18
PnL
-$1.37
Record
66%
123851-63765 (187616)
Invested
$45.12
Value
$53.05
PnL
+$10.25
Record
65%
20670-11287 (31957)
Invested
$20.88
Value
—
PnL
-$20.88
Record
50%
7569-7594 (15163)
Invested
$27.3
Value
—
PnL
-$27.3
Record
65%
123614-66086 (189700)
BoneOhioCTR<$100Invested
$19.06
Value
—
PnL
-$19.06
Record
74%
101930-36258 (138188)
G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100Invested
$12.5
Value
—
PnL
-$12.5
Record
62%
43463-26375 (69838)
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100Invested
$15.02
Value
—
PnL
-$15.02
Record
55%
43615-36054 (79669)
Invested
$10.96
Value
—
PnL
-$10.96
Record
52%
88842-83309 (172151)
Invested
$5.94
Value
$6
PnL
+$0.06
Record
93%
22173-1710 (23883)
Invested
$7.4
Value
—
PnL
-$7.4
Record
56%
57352-44305 (101657)
Invested
$6.47
Value
—
PnL
-$6.47
Record
61%
93307-58673 (151980)
wowitsamazingCTR<$100Invested
$3.9
Value
—
PnL
-$3.9
Record
58%
12444-9107 (21551)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
51%
19588-18771 (38359)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
trdyugiolkw
Up — $800.32
uninformedfloww
Up — $528.39
0xcE25E214D5cfE4f459cf67F08DF581885AAE7Fdc-1777575398144
Up — $239.66
peepeepoopoo24
Up — $108.03
aswfadq1555
ARBArbitrage — excluded
wzbbb
Up — $98.58
asdaefef
Up — $47.18
aaa221
Up — $53.05
RLWG
CTRDown — $0
drfc4eybh7i8
CTRDown — $0