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Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET

Resolved Down. 85% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.

RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

20

Down 85%

Total Value

$8.3K

Combined PnL

$191.19

Smart Money Signal

Down

17 of 20 top traders (85%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%12 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities

Up0%
Down100%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Down17 traders
Total Value$8.3K
Total Shares8,257
Combined PnL+$199.48
Up3 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares160
Combined PnL-$8.29
Down — 85%Up — 15%
0X
0x50f7
Down

Invested

$4,524.46

Value

$4.5K

PnL

+$4.53

Record

59%

61779-42723 (104502)

WZ
wzbbb
Down

Invested

$883.53

Value

$901

PnL

+$17.47

Record

56%

7329-5651 (12980)

HO
hoodquant
Down

Invested

$840.14

Value

$849.77

PnL

+$9.63

Record

93%

22150-1708 (23858)

TR
trdyugiolkw
Down

Invested

$762.79

Value

$781.98

PnL

+$19.19

Record

57%

9977-7486 (17463)

AS
aswfadq1555
Down

Invested

$284.74

Value

$331.17

PnL

+$46.42

Record

54%

15084-12995 (28079)

MayorMamdani
Down

Invested

$304.94

Value

$308.09

PnL

+$3.15

Record

55%

43591-36019 (79610)

timebrotime
Down

Invested

$100

Value

$139.57

PnL

+$39.57

Record

67%

885-432 (1317)

ohioism
Down

Invested

$102.06

Value

$150.09

PnL

+$48.03

Record

64%

39555-22557 (62112)

PE
peepeepoopoo24<$100
Down

Invested

$75.1

Value

$70

PnL

-$5.1

Record

57%

6479-4795 (11274)

BoneOhio<$100
Down

Invested

$45.22

Value

$45.68

PnL

+$0.46

Record

74%

101913-36258 (138171)

DV
dvasdkasodk<$100
Down

Invested

$38.53

Value

$38.24

PnL

-$0.29

Record

52%

88816-83270 (172086)

AS
asdaefef<$100
Down

Invested

$34.34

Value

$36.42

PnL

+$2.08

Record

66%

123808-63743 (187551)

AS
asidjasiodja<$100
Down

Invested

$26.42

Value

$28.19

PnL

+$1.77

Record

61%

93280-58641 (151921)

0X
0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530<$100
Down

Invested

$12.22

Value

$23.5

PnL

+$11.28

Record

56%

57338-44297 (101635)

AA
aaa221<$100
Down

Invested

$44.22

Value

$10.15

PnL

-$0.15

Record

65%

20619-11265 (31884)

UpandDownSyndrome<$100
Down

Invested

$9.02

Value

$9.17

PnL

+$0.15

Record

63%

50639-29898 (80537)

KA
Kathod-Shi-14CTR<$100
Up

Invested

$13.35

Value

—

PnL

-$13.35

Record

55%

17077-13720 (30797)

RL
RLWG<$100
Down

Invested

$3.7

Value

$5

PnL

+$1.3

Record

50%

7569-7594 (15163)

DE
devonpollCTR<$100
Up

Invested

$7.47

Value

—

PnL

+$6.26

Record

51%

19576-18764 (38340)

DR
drfc4eybh7i8CTR<$100
Up

Invested

$1.2

Value

—

PnL

-$1.2

Record

65%

123573-66074 (189647)

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Market Info

Condition ID
0x51cda178...de4db3
Slug
btc-updown-15m-1793106000
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