Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET
Resolved Down. 85% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
20
Down 85%
$8.3K
$191.19
Smart Money Signal
17 of 20 top traders (85%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%12 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0x50f7 | Downavg 99.9¢ | $4.5K | $4.5K | +$4.53 | 59% 61779-42723 (104502) |
WZ wzbbb | Downavg 97.1¢ | $883.53 | $901 | +$17.47 | 56% 7329-5651 (12980) |
HO hoodquant | Downavg 98.9¢ | $840.14 | $849.77 | +$9.63 | 93% 22150-1708 (23858) |
TR trdyugiolkw | Downavg 83.3¢ | $762.79 | $781.98 | +$19.19 | 57% 9977-7486 (17463) |
AS aswfadq1555 | Downavg 67.1¢ | $284.74 | $331.17 | +$46.42 | 54% 15084-12995 (28079) |
![]() MayorMamdani | Downavg 93.1¢ | $304.94 | $308.09 | +$3.15 | 55% 43591-36019 (79610) |
![]() timebrotime | Downavg 71.6¢ | $100 | $139.57 | +$39.57 | 67% 885-432 (1317) |
![]() ohioism | Downavg 68¢ | $102.06 | $150.09 | +$48.03 | 64% 39555-22557 (62112) |
PE peepeepoopoo24<$100 | Downavg 78.9¢ | $75.1 | $70 | -$5.1 | 57% 6479-4795 (11274) |
![]() BoneOhio<$100 | Downavg 99¢ | $45.22 | $45.68 | +$0.46 | 74% 101913-36258 (138171) |
DV dvasdkasodk<$100 | Downavg 97.2¢ | $38.53 | $38.24 | -$0.29 | 52% 88816-83270 (172086) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Downavg 82.6¢ | $34.34 | $36.42 | +$2.08 | 66% 123808-63743 (187551) |
AS asidjasiodja<$100 | Downavg 93.7¢ | $26.42 | $28.19 | +$1.77 | 61% 93280-58641 (151921) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530<$100 | Downavg 52¢ | $12.22 | $23.5 | +$11.28 | 56% 57338-44297 (101635) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Downavg 98¢ | $44.22 | $10.15 | -$0.15 | 65% 20619-11265 (31884) |
![]() UpandDownSyndrome<$100 | Downavg 98.4¢ | $9.02 | $9.17 | +$0.15 | 63% 50639-29898 (80537) |
KA Kathod-Shi-14CTR<$100 | Upavg 37.3¢ | $13.35 | — | -$13.35 | 55% 17077-13720 (30797) |
RL RLWG<$100 | Downavg 74¢ | $3.7 | $5 | +$1.3 | 50% 7569-7594 (15163) |
DE devonpollCTR<$100 | Upavg 5.4¢ | $7.47 | — | +$6.26 | 51% 19576-18764 (38340) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8CTR<$100 | Upavg 4¢ | $1.2 | — | -$1.2 | 65% 123573-66074 (189647) |
Invested
$4,524.46
Value
$4.5K
PnL
+$4.53
Record
59%
61779-42723 (104502)
Invested
$883.53
Value
$901
PnL
+$17.47
Record
56%
7329-5651 (12980)
Invested
$840.14
Value
$849.77
PnL
+$9.63
Record
93%
22150-1708 (23858)
Invested
$762.79
Value
$781.98
PnL
+$19.19
Record
57%
9977-7486 (17463)
Invested
$284.74
Value
$331.17
PnL
+$46.42
Record
54%
15084-12995 (28079)
MayorMamdaniInvested
$304.94
Value
$308.09
PnL
+$3.15
Record
55%
43591-36019 (79610)
timebrotimeInvested
$100
Value
$139.57
PnL
+$39.57
Record
67%
885-432 (1317)
ohioismInvested
$102.06
Value
$150.09
PnL
+$48.03
Record
64%
39555-22557 (62112)
Invested
$75.1
Value
$70
PnL
-$5.1
Record
57%
6479-4795 (11274)
BoneOhio<$100Invested
$45.22
Value
$45.68
PnL
+$0.46
Record
74%
101913-36258 (138171)
Invested
$38.53
Value
$38.24
PnL
-$0.29
Record
52%
88816-83270 (172086)
Invested
$34.34
Value
$36.42
PnL
+$2.08
Record
66%
123808-63743 (187551)
Invested
$26.42
Value
$28.19
PnL
+$1.77
Record
61%
93280-58641 (151921)
Invested
$12.22
Value
$23.5
PnL
+$11.28
Record
56%
57338-44297 (101635)
Invested
$44.22
Value
$10.15
PnL
-$0.15
Record
65%
20619-11265 (31884)
UpandDownSyndrome<$100Invested
$9.02
Value
$9.17
PnL
+$0.15
Record
63%
50639-29898 (80537)
Invested
$13.35
Value
—
PnL
-$13.35
Record
55%
17077-13720 (30797)
Invested
$3.7
Value
$5
PnL
+$1.3
Record
50%
7569-7594 (15163)
Invested
$7.47
Value
—
PnL
+$6.26
Record
51%
19576-18764 (38340)
Invested
$1.2
Value
—
PnL
-$1.2
Record
65%
123573-66074 (189647)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
0x50f7
Down — $4.5K
wzbbb
Down — $901
hoodquant
Down — $849.77
trdyugiolkw
Down — $781.98
aswfadq1555
Down — $331.17

MayorMamdani
Down — $308.09

timebrotime
Down — $139.57

ohioism
Down — $150.09
peepeepoopoo24
Down — $70

BoneOhio
Down — $45.68