Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET
Resolved Up. 64% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
25
Up 63%
1 arb excluded
$5.8K
$144.82
Smart Money Signal
16 of 25 top traders (64%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed9 hold an outcome priced under 50%14 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
TR trdyugiolkw | Upavg 57.7¢ | $1.7K | $1.7K | -$22.38 | 57% 9969-7479 (17448) |
0X 0xcE25E214D5cfE4f459cf67F08DF581885AAE7Fdc-1777575398144 | Upavg 79.7¢ | $1.3K | $859 | -$453.97 | 73% 94962-35595 (130557) |
AD adururu | Upavg 41.6¢ | $464.73 | $1.1K | +$651.16 | 54% 348-297 (645) |
 wowitsamazing | Upavg 41.2¢ | $264.15 | $544.87 | +$280.72 | 58% 12439-9095 (21534) |
AS aswfadq1555ARB<$100 | Downavg 54.5¢ | $580.59 | $299.99 | -$280.59 | 54% 15082-12986 (28068) |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 65.6¢ | $196.92 | $299.99 | +$103.08 | |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 54.5¢ | $383.67 | — | -$383.67 | |
HO hoodquant | Upavg 99¢ | $404.76 | $408.99 | +$4.23 | 93% 22133-1706 (23839) |
0X 0x06b2934b382D4429D50d7239eE375a76167f9f35-1723887278819CTR | Downavg 61.4¢ | $356.56 | — | -$356.56 | 47% 377-429 (806) |
PE peepeepoopoo24 | Upavg 68.8¢ | $102.97 | $97.3 | -$5.67 | 57% 6475-4791 (11266) |
RL RLWG | Upavg 39.5¢ | $118.95 | $260.7 | +$141.75 | 50% 7568-7591 (15159) |
0X 0xdc27...afdd9a | Upavg 40.1¢ | $72.17 | $179.81 | +$107.64 | 52% 1953-1769 (3722) |
 Atomforge<$100 | Upavg 42.5¢ | $34.04 | $77.64 | +$43.6 | 65% 3786-2049 (5835) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Upavg 80.7¢ | $69.14 | $61.01 | -$8.13 | 66% 123770-63721 (187491) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Upavg 61.1¢ | $82.3 | $36.57 | -$13.31 | 65% 20576-11237 (31813) |
AS asidjasiodja<$100 | Upavg 78.8¢ | $34.55 | $30.46 | -$4.09 | 61% 93252-58615 (151867) |
TM tmsd-testCTR | Downavg 58¢ | $119.41 | — | -$119.41 | 54% 14282-12072 (26354) |
WZ wzbbbCTR<$100 | Downavg 57.3¢ | $70.72 | — | -$70.72 | 56% 7316-5641 (12957) |
 MayorMamdani<$100 | Upavg 83¢ | $24.18 | $17.2 | -$6.98 | 55% 43574-35987 (79561) |
KA Kathod-Shi-14CTR<$100 | Downavg 54.5¢ | $20.65 | — | -$20.65 | 55% 17045-13693 (30738) |
AS asabovesobelow2<$100 | Upavg 42¢ | $16.75 | $39.89 | +$23.14 | 69% 1569-709 (2278) |
JO JocJo<$100 | Upavg 39.5¢ | $14.43 | $36.56 | +$22.13 | 51% 923-888 (1811) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8CTR | Downavg 54¢ | $112 | — | -$27 | 65% 123539-66052 (189591) |
 UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100 | Downavg 60¢ | $9.16 | — | -$9.16 | 63% 50616-29893 (80509) |
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025CTR<$100 | Downavg 8¢ | $3.35 | — | -$3.35 | 58% 59906-43726 (103632) |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518CTR<$100 | Downavg 20¢ | $1 | — | -$1 | 58% 37196-26405 (63601) |
DV dvasdkasodkCTR<$100 | Downavg 22¢ | $7.18 | — | -$7.18 | 52% 88790-83234 (172024) |
Invested
$1,726.5
Value
$1.7K
PnL
-$22.38
Record
57%
9969-7479 (17448)
Invested
$1,312.97
Value
$859
PnL
-$453.97
Record
73%
94962-35595 (130557)
Invested
$464.73
Value
$1.1K
PnL
+$651.16
Record
54%
348-297 (645)
wowitsamazingInvested
$264.15
Value
$544.87
PnL
+$280.72
Record
58%
12439-9095 (21534)
Invested
$580.59
Value
$299.99
PnL
-$280.59
Record
54%
15082-12986 (28068)
Both legs:
Invested
$404.76
Value
$408.99
PnL
+$4.23
Record
93%
22133-1706 (23839)
Invested
$356.56
Value
—
PnL
-$356.56
Record
47%
377-429 (806)
Invested
$102.97
Value
$97.3
PnL
-$5.67
Record
57%
6475-4791 (11266)
Invested
$118.95
Value
$260.7
PnL
+$141.75
Record
50%
7568-7591 (15159)
Invested
$72.17
Value
$179.81
PnL
+$107.64
Record
52%
1953-1769 (3722)
Atomforge<$100Invested
$34.04
Value
$77.64
PnL
+$43.6
Record
65%
3786-2049 (5835)
Invested
$69.14
Value
$61.01
PnL
-$8.13
Record
66%
123770-63721 (187491)
Invested
$82.3
Value
$36.57
PnL
-$13.31
Record
65%
20576-11237 (31813)
Invested
$34.55
Value
$30.46
PnL
-$4.09
Record
61%
93252-58615 (151867)
Invested
$119.41
Value
—
PnL
-$119.41
Record
54%
14282-12072 (26354)
Invested
$70.72
Value
—
PnL
-$70.72
Record
56%
7316-5641 (12957)
MayorMamdani<$100Invested
$24.18
Value
$17.2
PnL
-$6.98
Record
55%
43574-35987 (79561)
Invested
$20.65
Value
—
PnL
-$20.65
Record
55%
17045-13693 (30738)
Invested
$16.75
Value
$39.89
PnL
+$23.14
Record
69%
1569-709 (2278)
Invested
$14.43
Value
$36.56
PnL
+$22.13
Record
51%
923-888 (1811)
Invested
$112
Value
—
PnL
-$27
Record
65%
123539-66052 (189591)
UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100Invested
$9.16
Value
—
PnL
-$9.16
Record
63%
50616-29893 (80509)
Invested
$3.35
Value
—
PnL
-$3.35
Record
58%
59906-43726 (103632)
Invested
$1
Value
—
PnL
-$1
Record
58%
37196-26405 (63601)
Invested
$7.18
Value
—
PnL
-$7.18
Record
52%
88790-83234 (172024)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
trdyugiolkw
Up — $1.7K
0xcE25E214D5cfE4f459cf67F08DF581885AAE7Fdc-1777575398144
Up — $859
adururu
Up — $1.1K
wowitsamazing
Up — $544.87
aswfadq1555
ARBArbitrage — excluded
hoodquant
Up — $408.99
0x06b2934b382D4429D50d7239eE375a76167f9f35-1723887278819
CTRDown — $0
peepeepoopoo24
Up — $97.3
RLWG
Up — $260.7
0xdc27...afdd9a
Up — $179.81