Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET
Resolved Down. 89% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
18
Down 89%
1 arb excluded
$2.2K
-$211.25
Smart Money Signal
16 of 18 top traders (89%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed2 hold an outcome priced under 50%12 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
TR trdyugiolkw | Downavg 79.1¢ | $676.61 | $639.52 | -$37.09 | 57% 9962-7474 (17436) |
0X 0xcE25E214D5cfE4f459cf67F08DF581885AAE7Fdc-1777575398144 | Downavg 80.8¢ | $786.14 | $541 | -$245.14 | 73% 94960-35593 (130553) |
CR CrouchPredictions | Downavg 54.1¢ | $198.08 | $309.02 | +$110.94 | 56% 13881-10867 (24748) |
PE peepeepoopoo24 | Downavg 64.2¢ | $148.57 | $140.73 | -$7.84 | 57% 6471-4790 (11261) |
TH thesidehustle | Downavg 66¢ | $87.03 | $120 | +$32.97 | 54% 10045-8522 (18567) |
AS aswfadq1555ARB<$100 | Upavg 31.7¢ | $102.53 | $72 | -$30.53 | 54% 15078-12982 (28060) |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 52.3¢ | $37.68 | $72 | +$34.32 | |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 31.7¢ | $64.85 | — | -$64.85 | |
KA Kathod-Shi-14<$100 | Downavg 65.6¢ | $69.95 | $86.91 | +$16.96 | 55% 17023-13675 (30698) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Downavg 81.3¢ | $81.19 | $76.19 | -$5 | 66% 123735-63707 (187442) |
HS HsilverbasherCTR<$100 | Upavg 49.8¢ | $56.71 | — | -$56.71 | 12% 17858-132669 (150527) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Downavg 88.1¢ | $42.74 | $48.52 | +$5.78 | 65% 123512-66036 (189548) |
WZ wzbbb<$100 | Downavg 83¢ | $59.7 | $43 | -$16.7 | 56% 7307-5633 (12940) |
AS asidjasiodja<$100 | Downavg 97.9¢ | $30.43 | $31.07 | +$0.64 | 61% 93231-58595 (151826) |
 MayorMamdani<$100 | Downavg 62.8¢ | $28.14 | $39 | +$10.86 | 55% 43553-35965 (79518) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Downavg 85¢ | $18.28 | $20 | +$1.72 | 65% 20534-11219 (31753) |
 UpandDownSyndrome<$100 | Downavg 95¢ | $15.24 | $16.04 | +$0.8 | 63% 50605-29885 (80490) |
AN antsaslyku<$100 | Downavg 52.2¢ | $14.56 | $27.89 | +$13.33 | 66% 111116-57341 (168457) |
DV dvasdkasodk<$100 | Downavg 38.3¢ | $6.04 | $12 | +$5.96 | 52% 88772-83208 (171980) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530<$100 | Downavg 78¢ | $2.34 | $3 | +$0.66 | 56% 57308-44288 (101596) |
DE devonpollCTR | Upavg 50.6¢ | $105.09 | — | -$43.4 | 51% 19552-18740 (38292) |
Invested
$676.61
Value
$639.52
PnL
-$37.09
Record
57%
9962-7474 (17436)
Invested
$786.14
Value
$541
PnL
-$245.14
Record
73%
94960-35593 (130553)
Invested
$198.08
Value
$309.02
PnL
+$110.94
Record
56%
13881-10867 (24748)
Invested
$148.57
Value
$140.73
PnL
-$7.84
Record
57%
6471-4790 (11261)
Invested
$87.03
Value
$120
PnL
+$32.97
Record
54%
10045-8522 (18567)
Invested
$102.53
Value
$72
PnL
-$30.53
Record
54%
15078-12982 (28060)
Both legs:
Invested
$69.95
Value
$86.91
PnL
+$16.96
Record
55%
17023-13675 (30698)
Invested
$81.19
Value
$76.19
PnL
-$5
Record
66%
123735-63707 (187442)
Invested
$56.71
Value
—
PnL
-$56.71
Record
12%
17858-132669 (150527)
Invested
$42.74
Value
$48.52
PnL
+$5.78
Record
65%
123512-66036 (189548)
Invested
$59.7
Value
$43
PnL
-$16.7
Record
56%
7307-5633 (12940)
Invested
$30.43
Value
$31.07
PnL
+$0.64
Record
61%
93231-58595 (151826)
MayorMamdani<$100Invested
$28.14
Value
$39
PnL
+$10.86
Record
55%
43553-35965 (79518)
Invested
$18.28
Value
$20
PnL
+$1.72
Record
65%
20534-11219 (31753)
UpandDownSyndrome<$100Invested
$15.24
Value
$16.04
PnL
+$0.8
Record
63%
50605-29885 (80490)
Invested
$14.56
Value
$27.89
PnL
+$13.33
Record
66%
111116-57341 (168457)
Invested
$6.04
Value
$12
PnL
+$5.96
Record
52%
88772-83208 (171980)
Invested
$2.34
Value
$3
PnL
+$0.66
Record
56%
57308-44288 (101596)
Invested
$105.09
Value
—
PnL
-$43.4
Record
51%
19552-18740 (38292)
Chat
Sign in with your wallet to post.
Market Info
Traders in this Market
trdyugiolkw
Down — $639.52
0xcE25E214D5cfE4f459cf67F08DF581885AAE7Fdc-1777575398144
Down — $541
CrouchPredictions
Down — $309.02
peepeepoopoo24
Down — $140.73
thesidehustle
Down — $120
aswfadq1555
ARBArbitrage — excluded
Kathod-Shi-14
Down — $86.91
asdaefef
Down — $76.19
Hsilverbasher
CTRUp — $0
drfc4eybh7i8
Down — $48.52