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NoNoYesYesYes Trade on Polymarket
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Yes — but No won instead.

CR Brasil vs. Ceará SC: Draw at halftime?
Resolved No. 60% of the top Polymarket traders held Yes. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
5
Yes 60%
Total Value
$165.31
Combined PnL
$0
Smart Money Signal
Yes
3 of 5 top traders (60%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%4 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes0%
No100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
No2 traders
Total Value$165.31
Total Shares165
Combined PnL+$69.43
Yes3 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares165
Combined PnL-$69.43
No — 40%Yes — 60%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
TO topdogbigboi | Noavg 58¢ | $90.08 | $155.31 | +$65.23 | 38% 1175-1954 (3129) |
GO GoalLineGhost<$100 | Noavg 58¢ | $5.8 | $10 | +$4.2 | 53% 2249-2030 (4279) |
MA MadridTimeCTR<$100 | Yesavg 42¢ | $65.23 | — | -$65.23 | 38% 1094-1794 (2888) |
LI LightParadoxCTR<$100 | Yesavg 42¢ | $2.1 | — | -$2.1 | 37% 1085-1829 (2914) |
LI LimousinCTR<$100 | Yesavg 42¢ | $2.1 | — | -$2.1 | 37% 1064-1806 (2870) |
TO
topdogbigboiInvested
$90.08
Value
$155.31
PnL
+$65.23
Record
38%
1175-1954 (3129)
GO
GoalLineGhost<$100Invested
$5.8
Value
$10
PnL
+$4.2
Record
53%
2249-2030 (4279)
MA
MadridTimeCTR<$100Invested
$65.23
Value
—
PnL
-$65.23
Record
38%
1094-1794 (2888)
LI
LightParadoxCTR<$100Invested
$2.1
Value
—
PnL
-$2.1
Record
37%
1085-1829 (2914)
LI
LimousinCTR<$100Invested
$2.1
Value
—
PnL
-$2.1
Record
37%
1064-1806 (2870)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x6610833d...3011f5
Slug
bra2-crb-csc-2026-11-14-halftime-result-draw