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RN1<$100OverUnderUnderUnderUnderUnderUnder
ARTEM-DZYUBAOver
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Under — but Over won instead.
CR Brasil vs. Ceará SC: 1st Half O/U 0.5
Resolved Over. 75% of the top Polymarket traders held Under. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
8
Under 86%
Total Value
$66.15
Combined PnL
-$333.54
Smart Money Signal
Under
6 of 8 top traders (75%)6 hold an outcome priced under 50%6 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Over100%
Under0%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Over2 traders
Total Value$66.15
Total Shares66
Combined PnL+$25.91
Under6 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares1,128
Combined PnL-$359.45
Over — 25%Under — 75%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
RN1<$100 | Overavg 64¢ | $42.34 | $66.15 | +$23.81 | 55% 5525-4565 (10090) |
LI LightParadoxCTR | Underavg 36.8¢ | $237.4 | — | -$237.4 | 37% 1085-1829 (2914) |
LI LimousinCTR<$100 | Underavg 34¢ | $71.33 | — | -$71.33 | 37% 1064-1806 (2870) |
CI cigarettesCTR<$100 | Underavg 4¢ | $4 | — | -$4 | 53% 7213-6305 (13518) |
VE VenusianCTR<$100 | Underavg 37¢ | $32.08 | — | -$32.08 | 37% 1070-1834 (2904) |
TO topdogbigboiCTR<$100 | Underavg 4¢ | $1.92 | — | -$1.92 | 38% 1175-1954 (3129) |
MA MadridTimeCTR<$100 | Underavg 34¢ | $12.72 | — | -$12.72 | 38% 1094-1794 (2888) |
ARTEM-DZYUBA | Overavg 99¢ | $230.66 | — | +$2.1 | 83% 802-165 (967) |
RN1<$100Invested
$42.34
Value
$66.15
PnL
+$23.81
Record
55%
5525-4565 (10090)
LI
LightParadoxCTRInvested
$237.4
Value
—
PnL
-$237.4
Record
37%
1085-1829 (2914)
LI
LimousinCTR<$100Invested
$71.33
Value
—
PnL
-$71.33
Record
37%
1064-1806 (2870)
CI
cigarettesCTR<$100Invested
$4
Value
—
PnL
-$4
Record
53%
7213-6305 (13518)
VE
VenusianCTR<$100Invested
$32.08
Value
—
PnL
-$32.08
Record
37%
1070-1834 (2904)
TO
topdogbigboiCTR<$100Invested
$1.92
Value
—
PnL
-$1.92
Record
38%
1175-1954 (3129)
MA
MadridTimeCTR<$100Invested
$12.72
Value
—
PnL
-$12.72
Record
38%
1094-1794 (2888)
ARTEM-DZYUBAInvested
$230.66
Value
—
PnL
+$2.1
Record
83%
802-165 (967)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x9e37bda0...6d76d4
Slug
bra2-crb-csc-2026-11-14-first-half-total-0pt5