Consensus Lost ✗

Smart money consensus was CR Vasco da Gama — but CR Flamengo won instead.

Spread: CR Flamengo (-2.5)

Resolved CR Flamengo. 29% of the top Polymarket traders held CR Vasco da Gama. The smart money was wrong.

RESOLVED

💀

Lost

Consensus Traders

CR Vasco da Gama 25%

Total Value

$225.54

Combined PnL

-$207.55

CR Vasco da Gama

2 of 7 top traders (29%)2 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

CR Flamengo100%

CR Vasco da Gama0%

CR Flamengo5 traders

Total Value$225.54

Total Shares226

Combined PnL+$75.76

CR Vasco da Gama2 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares544

Combined PnL-$283.31

CR Flamengo — 71%CR Vasco da Gama — 29%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
poshposh	CR Flamengoavg 72.2¢	$115.41	$159.26	+$44.9	59% 9768-6750 (16518)
HRTrading<$100	CR Flamengoavg 12¢	$4.2	$35.03	+$30.83	52% 3869-3521 (7390)
LO looppau<$100	CR Flamengoavg 99.9¢	$31.22	$31.25	+$0.03	99% 10727-60 (10787)
KE keeptheblueflagflyinghighCTR	CR Vasco da Gamaavg 52.1¢	$543.92	—	-$283.31	49% 690-725 (1415)
RN1<$100	CR Flamengoavg 19¢	—	—	+$0	54% 56128-48277 (104405)
GO GoalLineGhostCTR<$100	CR Vasco da Gamaavg 62.2¢	—	—	+$0	50% 24796-24493 (49289)
ZaiZoiBele<$100	CR Flamengoavg 91.2¢	—	—	+$0	80% 5003-1236 (6239)