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Over
HRTrading<$100UnderUnderUnder
RN1CTR<$100OverOver
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Over — but Under won instead.
Grêmio FBPA vs. CA Paranaense: O/U 4.5
Resolved Under. 50% of the top Polymarket traders held Over. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
6
Over 100%
Total Value
$0.81
Combined PnL
-$2.59
Smart Money Signal
Over
3 of 6 top traders (50%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%6 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Over0%
Under100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Over3 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares24
Combined PnL-$2.6
Under3 traders
Total Value$0.81
Total Shares1
Combined PnL+$0.01
Over — 50%Under — 50%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
TO topdogbigboiCTR<$100 | Overavg 4¢ | $0.42 | — | -$2.6 | 39% 3126-4927 (8053) |
HRTrading<$100 | Underavg 99¢ | $0.8 | $0.81 | +$0.01 | 52% 3925-3577 (7502) |
UP UpTheBlues<$100 | Underavg 87¢ | — | — | +$0 | 59% 45357-31714 (77071) |
OM omnibus-076daa<$100 | Underavg 87¢ | — | — | +$0 | 49% 18950-19362 (38312) |
RN1CTR<$100 | Overavg 7¢ | — | — | +$0 | 54% 56250-48415 (104665) |
GO GoalLineGhostCTR<$100 | Overavg 9.8¢ | — | — | +$0 | 50% 24837-24541 (49378) |
TO
topdogbigboiCTR<$100Invested
$0.42
Value
—
PnL
-$2.6
Record
39%
3126-4927 (8053)
HRTrading<$100Invested
$0.8
Value
$0.81
PnL
+$0.01
Record
52%
3925-3577 (7502)
UP
UpTheBlues<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
59%
45357-31714 (77071)
OM
omnibus-076daa<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
49%
18950-19362 (38312)
RN1CTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
54%
56250-48415 (104665)
GO
GoalLineGhostCTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
50%
24837-24541 (49378)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x04e80115...03c8d3
Slug
bra-gre-cap-2026-10-29-total-4pt5