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Consensus Lost ✗

Smart money consensus was Over — but Under won instead.

Grêmio FBPA vs. CA Paranaense: 1st Half O/U 1.5

Resolved Under. 78% of the top Polymarket traders held Over. The smart money was wrong.

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RESOLVED

💀

Lost

Consensus Traders

9

Over 71%

Total Value

$128.85

Combined PnL

$11.92

Smart Money Signal

Over

7 of 9 top traders (78%)7 hold an outcome priced under 50%8 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Outcome Probabilities

Over0%

Under100%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Under2 traders

Total Value$128.85

Total Shares129

Combined PnL+$43.58

Over7 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares124

Combined PnL-$31.66

Under — 22%Over — 78%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
LE LeLynxMalynx	Underavg 66¢	$69.96	$106	+$36.04	58% 28351-20930 (49281)
KE keeptheblueflagflyinghigh<$100	Underavg 67¢	$15.31	$22.85	+$7.54	48% 713-759 (1472)
FO Forecastication2CTR<$100	Overavg 34¢	$18.7	—	-$21.97	50% 6944-6931 (13875)
US user921123CTR<$100	Overavg 6¢	$2.01	—	-$4	68% 123-58 (181)
HRTradingCTR<$100	Overavg 14.6¢	$2.27	—	-$2.27	52% 3925-3577 (7502)
TO topdogbigboiCTR<$100	Overavg 8.3¢	$1.26	—	-$2.17	39% 3126-4927 (8053)
US User7429CTR<$100	Overavg 19¢	$0.95	—	-$1.25	55% 8218-6632 (14850)
RN1CTR<$100	Overavg 6.7¢	—	—	+$0	54% 56250-48415 (104665)
0X 0xdbdd45150249e229eB4cA8aa48A30Dca21Faa5de-1757094771846CTR<$100	Overavg 23¢	—	—	+$0	59% 30333-21031 (51364)

Invested

$69.96

Value

$106

PnL

+$36.04

Record

58%

28351-20930 (49281)

keeptheblueflagflyinghigh<$100

Invested

$15.31

Value

$22.85

PnL

+$7.54

Record

48%

713-759 (1472)

Forecastication2CTR<$100

Invested

$18.7

Value

—

PnL

-$21.97

Record

50%

6944-6931 (13875)

user921123CTR<$100

Invested

$2.01

Value

—

PnL

-$4

Record

68%

123-58 (181)

HRTradingCTR<$100

Invested

$2.27

Value

—

PnL

-$2.27

Record

52%

3925-3577 (7502)

topdogbigboiCTR<$100

Invested

$1.26

Value

—

PnL

-$2.17

Record

39%

3126-4927 (8053)

User7429CTR<$100

Invested

$0.95

Value

—

PnL

-$1.25

Record

55%

8218-6632 (14850)

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

54%

56250-48415 (104665)

0xdbdd45150249e229eB4cA8aa48A30Dca21Faa5de-1757094771846CTR<$100

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

59%

30333-21031 (51364)

Smart Money Signal

Over

7 of 9 top traders (78%)7 hold an outcome priced under 50%8 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

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Market Info

Condition ID

0x19148a10...31d907

Slug

bra-gre-cap-2026-10-29-first-half-total-1pt5

Traders in this Market

LeLynxMalynx

Under — $106

keeptheblueflagflyinghigh

Under — $22.85

Forecastication2

Over — $0

user921123

Over — $0

HRTrading

Over — $0

topdogbigboi

Over — $0

User7429

Over — $0

RN1

Over — $0

0xdbdd45150249e229eB4cA8aa48A30Dca21Faa5de-1757094771846

Over — $0

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