Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Under — but Over won instead.
Associação Chapecoense de Futebol vs. CR Vasco da Gama: O/U 0.5
Resolved Over. 78% of the top Polymarket traders held Under. The smart money was wrong.
💀
Lost
9
Under 86%
$15.78
-$85.2
Smart Money Signal
7 of 9 top traders (78%)7 hold an outcome priced under 50%6 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
VE VenusianCTR | Underavg 4.1¢ | $1.1K | — | $-1.1K | 38% 1210-2005 (3215) |
GO GoalLineGhost<$100 | Overavg 95¢ | $16.16 | $15.78 | -$0.38 | 53% 2421-2179 (4600) |
MA MadridTimeCTR<$100 | Underavg 3.7¢ | $8.09 | — | -$8.09 | 38% 1230-1969 (3199) |
HI hi774cCTR<$100 | Underavg 3¢ | $4.15 | — | -$4.15 | 24% 205-655 (860) |
LU LuckyLooCTR<$100 | Underavg 3.8¢ | $5.13 | — | -$5.13 | 36% 595-1070 (1665) |
FO fooooolCTR<$100 | Underavg 5.7¢ | $2.09 | — | -$2.09 | 41% 123-179 (302) |
SN SnakeBallCTR<$100 | Underavg 7.1¢ | $2.44 | — | -$2.44 | 47% 1088-1236 (2324) |
TH thetesterguy | Overavg 96¢ | $26.7K | — | +$1.1K | 87% 20-3 (23) |
OV overtimemarkets.xyz-singlesCTR | Underavg 50¢ | $200 | — | +$0 | 66% 141-74 (215) |
Invested
$1,148.46
Value
—
PnL
$-1.1K
Record
38%
1210-2005 (3215)
Invested
$16.16
Value
$15.78
PnL
-$0.38
Record
53%
2421-2179 (4600)
Invested
$8.09
Value
—
PnL
-$8.09
Record
38%
1230-1969 (3199)
Invested
$4.15
Value
—
PnL
-$4.15
Record
24%
205-655 (860)
Invested
$5.13
Value
—
PnL
-$5.13
Record
36%
595-1070 (1665)
Invested
$2.09
Value
—
PnL
-$2.09
Record
41%
123-179 (302)
Invested
$2.44
Value
—
PnL
-$2.44
Record
47%
1088-1236 (2324)
Invested
$26,724.08
Value
—
PnL
+$1.1K
Record
87%
20-3 (23)
Invested
$200
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
66%
141-74 (215)