Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Back to Markets

Consensus Lost ✗

Smart money consensus was Under — but Over won instead.

Associação Chapecoense de Futebol vs. CR Vasco da Gama: CR Vasco da Gama O/U 1.5

Resolved Over. 57% of the top Polymarket traders held Under. The smart money was wrong.

View on Polymarket

RESOLVED

💀

Lost

Consensus Traders

7

Under 67%

2 arb excluded

Total Value

$853.73

Combined PnL

-$35.2

Smart Money Signal

Under

4 of 7 top traders (57%)2 arbitrage traders dimmed4 hold an outcome priced under 50%6 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Loading chart data…

Outcome Probabilities

Over100%

Under0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Under4 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares84

Combined PnL-$38.84

Over3 traders

Total Value$10.33

Total Shares10

Combined PnL+$3.65

Under — 57%Over — 43%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
SN SnakeBallARB<$100	Overavg 34.3¢	$500.86	$805.26	+$304.4	47% 1088-1236 (2324)
└ Over leg	Overavg 34.3¢	$276.22	$805.26	+$529.04
└ Under leg	Underavg 31¢	$224.64	—	-$224.64
VE VenusianARB<$100	Underavg 38¢	$41.65	$38.14	-$3.51	38% 1210-2005 (3215)
└ Under leg	Underavg 38¢	$30.64	—	-$30.64
└ Over leg	Overavg 28.8¢	$11	$38.14	+$27.14
0X 0x00000000000000000000000000000000000000CTR<$100	Underavg 45.5¢	$27.56	—	-$27.56	28% 85-219 (304)
MA MadridTimeCTR<$100	Underavg 50¢	$8	—	-$8	38% 1230-1969 (3199)
TO topdogbigboi<$100	Overavg 55¢	$2.93	$5.33	+$2.4	38% 1351-2180 (3531)
ARTEM-DZYUBA<$100	Overavg 75¢	$3.75	$5	+$1.25	83% 882-182 (1064)
LI LightParadoxCTR<$100	Underavg 44¢	$2.53	—	-$2.53	38% 1223-2021 (3244)
LU LuckyLooCTR<$100	Underavg 43¢	$0.75	—	-$0.75	36% 595-1070 (1665)
OV overtimemarkets.xyz-singles	Overavg 50¢	$1.0K	—	+$0	66% 141-74 (215)

SnakeBallARB<$100

Invested

$500.86

Value

$805.26

PnL

+$304.4

Record

47%

1088-1236 (2324)

Both legs:

Over$276.2234.3¢+$529.04

Under$224.6431¢-$224.64

VenusianARB<$100

Invested

$41.65

Value

$38.14

PnL

-$3.51

Record

38%

1210-2005 (3215)

Both legs:

Under$30.6438¢-$30.64

Over$1128.8¢+$27.14

0x00000000000000000000000000000000000000CTR<$100

Invested

$27.56

Value

—

PnL

-$27.56

Record

28%

85-219 (304)

MadridTimeCTR<$100

Invested

$8

Value

—

PnL

-$8

Record

38%

1230-1969 (3199)

topdogbigboi<$100

Invested

$2.93

Value

$5.33

PnL

+$2.4

Record

38%

1351-2180 (3531)

ARTEM-DZYUBA<$100

Invested

$3.75

Value

$5

PnL

+$1.25

Record

83%

882-182 (1064)

LightParadoxCTR<$100

Invested

$2.53

Value

—

PnL

-$2.53

Record

38%

1223-2021 (3244)

LuckyLooCTR<$100

Invested

$0.75

Value

—

PnL

-$0.75

Record

36%

595-1070 (1665)

overtimemarkets.xyz-singles

Invested

$1,000

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

66%

141-74 (215)

Smart Money Signal

Under

4 of 7 top traders (57%)2 arbitrage traders dimmed4 hold an outcome priced under 50%6 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Chat

Market Info

Condition ID

0x593bccd7...137aa1

Slug

bra-cha-vas-2026-11-14-team-total-away-1pt5

Traders in this Market

SnakeBall

Arbitrage — excluded

Venusian

Arbitrage — excluded

0x00000000000000000000000000000000000000

Under — $0

MadridTime

Under — $0

topdogbigboi

Over — $5.33

ARTEM-DZYUBA

Over — $5

LightParadox

Under — $0

LuckyLoo

Under — $0

overtimemarkets.xyz-singles

Over — $0

Trade on Polymarket