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Up
G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100Down
cryingbabydicer87CTR<$100DownDownDown
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Down — but Up won instead.
BNB Up or Down - November 15, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET
Resolved Up. 80% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
5
Down 80%
Total Value
$15
Combined PnL
-$5.69
Smart Money Signal
Down
4 of 5 top traders (80%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Up100%
Down0%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Up1 trader
Total Value$15
Total Shares15
Combined PnL+$0.02
Down4 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares27
Combined PnL-$5.7
Up — 20%Down — 80%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0x50f7<$100 | Upavg 99.9¢ | $14.98 | $15 | +$0.02 | 53% 1576-1397 (2973) |
G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100 | Downavg 3.5¢ | $0.35 | — | -$0.35 | 44% 2374-3081 (5455) |
cryingbabydicer87CTR<$100 | Downavg 6.3¢ | $0.45 | — | -$0.45 | 49% 1730-1766 (3496) |
AA aaa221CTR<$100 | Downavg 56¢ | $2.8 | — | -$2.8 | 60% 4192-2848 (7040) |
LI Little-bigCTR<$100 | Downavg 42¢ | $2.1 | — | -$2.1 | 51% 1119-1061 (2180) |
0X
0x50f7<$100Invested
$14.98
Value
$15
PnL
+$0.02
Record
53%
1576-1397 (2973)
G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100Invested
$0.35
Value
—
PnL
-$0.35
Record
44%
2374-3081 (5455)
cryingbabydicer87CTR<$100Invested
$0.45
Value
—
PnL
-$0.45
Record
49%
1730-1766 (3496)
AA
aaa221CTR<$100Invested
$2.8
Value
—
PnL
-$2.8
Record
60%
4192-2848 (7040)
LI
Little-bigCTR<$100Invested
$2.1
Value
—
PnL
-$2.1
Record
51%
1119-1061 (2180)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0xaf8e11ee...06f9e7
Slug
bnb-updown-5m-1794754200