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cryingbabydicer87<$100UpDownUpDownDown
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Down — but Up won instead.
BNB Up or Down - November 15, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET
Resolved Up. 60% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
5
Down 60%
Total Value
$24.53
Combined PnL
-$3.15
Smart Money Signal
Down
3 of 5 top traders (60%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Up100%
Down0%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Up2 traders
Total Value$24.53
Total Shares25
Combined PnL+$8.25
Down3 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares32
Combined PnL-$11.4
Up — 40%Down — 60%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
cryingbabydicer87<$100 | Upavg 47.5¢ | $5.93 | $9.53 | +$3.6 | 50% 1679-1712 (3391) |
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025CTR<$100 | Downavg 31¢ | $4.65 | — | -$4.65 | 48% 2415-2654 (5069) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Upavg 69¢ | $10.35 | $15 | +$4.65 | 60% 4054-2741 (6795) |
0X 0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710CTR<$100 | Downavg 44.6¢ | $5.35 | — | -$5.35 | 42% 1925-2669 (4594) |
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609CTR<$100 | Downavg 28¢ | $1.4 | — | -$1.4 | 50% 3495-3507 (7002) |
cryingbabydicer87<$100Invested
$5.93
Value
$9.53
PnL
+$3.6
Record
50%
1679-1712 (3391)
0X
0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025CTR<$100Invested
$4.65
Value
—
PnL
-$4.65
Record
48%
2415-2654 (5069)
AA
aaa221<$100Invested
$10.35
Value
$15
PnL
+$4.65
Record
60%
4054-2741 (6795)
0X
0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710CTR<$100Invested
$5.35
Value
—
PnL
-$5.35
Record
42%
1925-2669 (4594)
0X
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609CTR<$100Invested
$1.4
Value
—
PnL
-$1.4
Record
50%
3495-3507 (7002)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x4fb70530...27ebe2
Slug
bnb-updown-5m-1794733800