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Up
G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100UpDownUpDown
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Up — but Down won instead.
BNB Up or Down - November 14, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET
Resolved Down. 60% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
5
Up 60%
Total Value
$21
Combined PnL
-$7.15
Smart Money Signal
Up
3 of 5 top traders (60%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Up0%
Down100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Up3 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares39
Combined PnL-$12.01
Down2 traders
Total Value$21
Total Shares21
Combined PnL+$4.86
Up — 60%Down — 40%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609CTR<$100 | Upavg 41.2¢ | $9 | — | -$9 | 51% 3321-3240 (6561) |
G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100 | Upavg 1¢ | $0.16 | — | -$0.16 | 44% 2183-2822 (5005) |
HO hoodquant<$100 | Downavg 98¢ | $14.7 | $15 | +$0.3 | 98% 3966-84 (4050) |
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025CTR<$100 | Upavg 28.5¢ | $2.85 | — | -$2.85 | 47% 2283-2545 (4828) |
0X 0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710<$100 | Downavg 24¢ | $1.44 | $6 | +$4.56 | 42% 1805-2456 (4261) |
0X
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609CTR<$100Invested
$9
Value
—
PnL
-$9
Record
51%
3321-3240 (6561)
G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100Invested
$0.16
Value
—
PnL
-$0.16
Record
44%
2183-2822 (5005)
HO
hoodquant<$100Invested
$14.7
Value
$15
PnL
+$0.3
Record
98%
3966-84 (4050)
0X
0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025CTR<$100Invested
$2.85
Value
—
PnL
-$2.85
Record
47%
2283-2545 (4828)
0X
0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710<$100Invested
$1.44
Value
$6
PnL
+$4.56
Record
42%
1805-2456 (4261)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0xe25e2387...59f2dc
Slug
bnb-updown-5m-1794707400