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Down
MayorMamdani<$100UpUpDownDown
cryingbabydicer87CTR<$100Down
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Down — but Up won instead.
BNB Up or Down - November 14, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET
Resolved Up. 67% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
6
Down 67%
Total Value
$102.72
Combined PnL
$41.77
Smart Money Signal
Down
4 of 6 top traders (67%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%6 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Up100%
Down0%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Down4 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares304
Combined PnL+$56.83
Up2 traders
Total Value$102.72
Total Shares103
Combined PnL-$15.06
Down — 67%Up — 33%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710CTR<$100 | Downavg 9.7¢ | $57.78 | — | +$60.96 | 42% 1769-2426 (4195) |
MayorMamdani<$100 | Upavg 90.2¢ | $53.73 | $46 | -$7.73 | 52% 2764-2526 (5290) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Upavg 88.4¢ | $73.58 | $56.72 | -$7.33 | 59% 3835-2614 (6449) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530CTR<$100 | Downavg 36.5¢ | $3.65 | — | -$3.65 | 48% 2240-2454 (4694) |
UN uninformedflowwCTR<$100 | Downavg 10¢ | $0.43 | — | -$0.43 | 49% 2352-2415 (4767) |
cryingbabydicer87CTR<$100 | Downavg 4¢ | $0.04 | — | -$0.04 | 50% 1607-1638 (3245) |
0X
0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710CTR<$100Invested
$57.78
Value
—
PnL
+$60.96
Record
42%
1769-2426 (4195)
MayorMamdani<$100Invested
$53.73
Value
$46
PnL
-$7.73
Record
52%
2764-2526 (5290)
AA
aaa221<$100Invested
$73.58
Value
$56.72
PnL
-$7.33
Record
59%
3835-2614 (6449)
0X
0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530CTR<$100Invested
$3.65
Value
—
PnL
-$3.65
Record
48%
2240-2454 (4694)
UN
uninformedflowwCTR<$100Invested
$0.43
Value
—
PnL
-$0.43
Record
49%
2352-2415 (4767)
cryingbabydicer87CTR<$100Invested
$0.04
Value
—
PnL
-$0.04
Record
50%
1607-1638 (3245)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x76dd6ebe...13c015
Slug
bnb-updown-5m-1794705000