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UpDownUp
G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100Down
cryingbabydicer87CTR<$100Down
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Down — but Up won instead.
BNB Up or Down - November 14, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET
Resolved Up. 60% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
5
Down 60%
Total Value
$145.46
Combined PnL
$73.54
Smart Money Signal
Down
3 of 5 top traders (60%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%4 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Up100%
Down0%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Up2 traders
Total Value$145.46
Total Shares145
Combined PnL+$77.75
Down3 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares58
Combined PnL-$4.21
Up — 40%Down — 60%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
LI Little-big | Upavg 39.5¢ | $49.29 | $124.7 | +$75.41 | 51% 983-938 (1921) |
0X 0x50f7CTR<$100 | Downavg 3¢ | $1.24 | — | -$1.24 | 52% 1406-1302 (2708) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Upavg 88.8¢ | $18.42 | $20.76 | +$2.33 | 59% 3751-2555 (6306) |
G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100 | Downavg 10¢ | $1.21 | — | -$1.21 | 44% 2109-2719 (4828) |
cryingbabydicer87CTR<$100 | Downavg 35¢ | $1.75 | — | -$1.75 | 49% 1554-1593 (3147) |
LI
Little-bigInvested
$49.29
Value
$124.7
PnL
+$75.41
Record
51%
983-938 (1921)
0X
0x50f7CTR<$100Invested
$1.24
Value
—
PnL
-$1.24
Record
52%
1406-1302 (2708)
AA
aaa221<$100Invested
$18.42
Value
$20.76
PnL
+$2.33
Record
59%
3751-2555 (6306)
G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100Invested
$1.21
Value
—
PnL
-$1.21
Record
44%
2109-2719 (4828)
cryingbabydicer87CTR<$100Invested
$1.75
Value
—
PnL
-$1.75
Record
49%
1554-1593 (3147)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x7145f6bd...ef6420
Slug
bnb-updown-5m-1794694800