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Down
G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100DownUp
ohioismCTR<$100Down
cryingbabydicer87<$100UpDownDown
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Down — but Up won instead.
BNB Up or Down - November 14, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET
Resolved Up. 71% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
7
Down 71%
Total Value
$33.18
Combined PnL
-$44.54
Smart Money Signal
Down
5 of 7 top traders (71%)5 hold an outcome priced under 50%7 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
Loading chart data…
Outcome Probabilities
Up100%
Down0%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Down5 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares163
Combined PnL-$42.92
Up2 traders
Total Value$33.18
Total Shares33
Combined PnL-$1.62
Down — 71%Up — 29%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
LI Little-bigCTR<$100 | Downavg 29.8¢ | $28.63 | — | -$28.63 | 51% 983-938 (1921) |
G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100 | Downavg 23.6¢ | $8.59 | — | -$8.59 | 44% 2109-2719 (4828) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Upavg 71¢ | $36.15 | $30 | -$2.32 | 59% 3751-2555 (6306) |
ohioismCTR<$100 | Downavg 28.8¢ | $10.35 | — | +$0.3 | 47% 2109-2347 (4456) |
cryingbabydicer87<$100 | Upavg 78¢ | $2.48 | $3.18 | +$0.7 | 49% 1554-1593 (3147) |
0X 0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710CTR<$100 | Downavg 30¢ | $1.8 | — | -$1.65 | 42% 1711-2331 (4042) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530CTR<$100 | Downavg 29¢ | $4.35 | — | -$4.35 | 48% 2164-2388 (4552) |
LI
Little-bigCTR<$100Invested
$28.63
Value
—
PnL
-$28.63
Record
51%
983-938 (1921)
G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100Invested
$8.59
Value
—
PnL
-$8.59
Record
44%
2109-2719 (4828)
AA
aaa221<$100Invested
$36.15
Value
$30
PnL
-$2.32
Record
59%
3751-2555 (6306)
ohioismCTR<$100Invested
$10.35
Value
—
PnL
+$0.3
Record
47%
2109-2347 (4456)
cryingbabydicer87<$100Invested
$2.48
Value
$3.18
PnL
+$0.7
Record
49%
1554-1593 (3147)
0X
0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710CTR<$100Invested
$1.8
Value
—
PnL
-$1.65
Record
42%
1711-2331 (4042)
0X
0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530CTR<$100Invested
$4.35
Value
—
PnL
-$4.35
Record
48%
2164-2388 (4552)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x038023e4...9e0e37
Slug
bnb-updown-5m-1794694500