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Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down

BNB Up or Down - November 14, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET

Resolved Down. 80% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.

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RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

10

Down 80%

Total Value

$190.97

Combined PnL

$11.82

Smart Money Signal

Down

8 of 10 top traders (80%)2 hold an outcome priced under 50%10 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

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Outcome Probabilities

Up0%

Down100%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Down8 traders

Total Value$190.97

Total Shares191

Combined PnL+$19.77

Up2 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares90

Combined PnL-$7.95

Down — 80%Up — 20%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
0X 0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710<$100	Downavg 95¢	$90.69	$91.97	+$2.53	42% 1520-2127 (3647)
0X 0x50f7CTR<$100	Upavg 9¢	$7.65	—	-$7.65	51% 1315-1249 (2564)
G-Penis-Monster<$100	Downavg 91¢	$13.65	$15	+$1.35	44% 1940-2509 (4449)
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025<$100	Downavg 91¢	$13.65	$15	+$1.35	47% 2017-2278 (4295)
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530<$100	Downavg 91¢	$13.65	$15	+$1.35	47% 1973-2229 (4202)
cryingbabydicer87<$100	Downavg 72.5¢	$19.36	$26.71	+$7.35	48% 1394-1507 (2901)
AA aaa221<$100	Downavg 94¢	$9.4	$10	+$0.6	60% 3515-2365 (5880)
LI Little-big<$100	Downavg 67.7¢	$6.26	$9.25	+$2.99	51% 916-874 (1790)
BO bosona<$100	Downavg 72¢	$5.79	$8.04	+$2.25	51% 4567-4423 (8990)
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100	Upavg 6¢	$0.3	—	-$0.3	52% 2502-2335 (4837)

0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710<$100

Invested

$90.69

Value

$91.97

PnL

+$2.53

Record

42%

1520-2127 (3647)

Invested

$7.65

Value

—

PnL

-$7.65

Record

51%

1315-1249 (2564)

G-Penis-Monster<$100

Invested

$13.65

Value

$15

PnL

+$1.35

Record

44%

1940-2509 (4449)

0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025<$100

Invested

$13.65

Value

$15

PnL

+$1.35

Record

47%

2017-2278 (4295)

0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530<$100

Invested

$13.65

Value

$15

PnL

+$1.35

Record

47%

1973-2229 (4202)

cryingbabydicer87<$100

Invested

$19.36

Value

$26.71

PnL

+$7.35

Record

48%

1394-1507 (2901)

Invested

$9.4

Value

$10

PnL

+$0.6

Record

60%

3515-2365 (5880)

Little-big<$100

Invested

$6.26

Value

$9.25

PnL

+$2.99

Record

51%

916-874 (1790)

Invested

$5.79

Value

$8.04

PnL

+$2.25

Record

51%

4567-4423 (8990)

MayorMamdaniCTR<$100

Invested

$0.3

Value

—

PnL

-$0.3

Record

52%

2502-2335 (4837)

Smart Money Signal

Down

8 of 10 top traders (80%)2 hold an outcome priced under 50%10 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

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Market Info

Condition ID

0xbbad7e91...67ef64

Slug

bnb-updown-5m-1794662700

Traders in this Market

0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710

Down — $91.97

0x50f7

Up — $0

G-Penis-Monster

Down — $15

0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025

Down — $15

0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530

Down — $15

cryingbabydicer87

Down — $26.71

aaa221

Down — $10

Little-big

Down — $9.25

bosona

Down — $8.04

MayorMamdani

Up — $0

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