Back to Markets
cryingbabydicer87<$100UpDownDown
MayorMamdani<$100UpUp
G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100Down
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Down — but Up won instead.
BNB Up or Down - November 14, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET
Resolved Up. 50% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
6
Down 60%
Total Value
$25.71
Combined PnL
-$3.88
Smart Money Signal
Down
3 of 6 top traders (50%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%6 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
Loading chart data…
Outcome Probabilities
Up100%
Down0%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Up3 traders
Total Value$25.71
Total Shares26
Combined PnL+$8.71
Down3 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares26
Combined PnL-$12.58
Up — 50%Down — 50%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
cryingbabydicer87<$100 | Upavg 64¢ | $12.8 | $20 | +$7.2 | 48% 1394-1507 (2901) |
0X 0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710CTR<$100 | Downavg 23¢ | $1.38 | — | -$1.38 | 42% 1520-2127 (3647) |
AA aaa221CTR<$100 | Downavg 56¢ | $3.05 | — | -$3.05 | 60% 3515-2365 (5880) |
MayorMamdani<$100 | Upavg 70¢ | $3.5 | $5 | +$1.5 | 52% 2502-2335 (4837) |
0X 0x50f7<$100 | Upavg 99¢ | $0.7 | $0.71 | +$0.01 | 51% 1315-1249 (2564) |
G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100 | Downavg 54.3¢ | $8.15 | — | -$8.15 | 44% 1940-2509 (4449) |
cryingbabydicer87<$100Invested
$12.8
Value
$20
PnL
+$7.2
Record
48%
1394-1507 (2901)
0X
0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710CTR<$100Invested
$1.38
Value
—
PnL
-$1.38
Record
42%
1520-2127 (3647)
AA
aaa221CTR<$100Invested
$3.05
Value
—
PnL
-$3.05
Record
60%
3515-2365 (5880)
MayorMamdani<$100Invested
$3.5
Value
$5
PnL
+$1.5
Record
52%
2502-2335 (4837)
0X
0x50f7<$100Invested
$0.7
Value
$0.71
PnL
+$0.01
Record
51%
1315-1249 (2564)
G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100Invested
$8.15
Value
—
PnL
-$8.15
Record
44%
1940-2509 (4449)
Chat
Market Info
Condition ID
0x5e4855a2...6c98fc
Slug
bnb-updown-5m-1794662100