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DownDown
cryingbabydicer87CTR<$100Down
MayorMamdani<$100UpDownDown
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Down — but Up won instead.
BNB Up or Down - November 14, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET
Resolved Up. 83% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
6
Down 83%
Total Value
$2.14
Combined PnL
-$11.44
Smart Money Signal
Down
5 of 6 top traders (83%)5 hold an outcome priced under 50%6 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Up100%
Down0%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Down5 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares36
Combined PnL-$11.74
Up1 trader
Total Value$2.14
Total Shares2
Combined PnL+$0.3
Down — 83%Up — 17%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
UN uninformedflowwCTR<$100 | Downavg 34¢ | $3.48 | — | -$3.48 | 50% 2099-2099 (4198) |
AA aaa221CTR<$100 | Downavg 44.2¢ | $4.57 | — | -$4.57 | 60% 3496-2347 (5843) |
cryingbabydicer87CTR<$100 | Downavg 40¢ | $1.55 | — | -$1.55 | 48% 1389-1500 (2889) |
MayorMamdani<$100 | Upavg 86¢ | $1.84 | $2.14 | +$0.3 | 52% 2488-2319 (4807) |
0X 0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710CTR<$100 | Downavg 16.3¢ | $2.12 | — | -$2.12 | 42% 1499-2108 (3607) |
0X 0x50f7CTR<$100 | Downavg 2¢ | $0.02 | — | -$0.02 | 51% 1306-1242 (2548) |
UN
uninformedflowwCTR<$100Invested
$3.48
Value
—
PnL
-$3.48
Record
50%
2099-2099 (4198)
AA
aaa221CTR<$100Invested
$4.57
Value
—
PnL
-$4.57
Record
60%
3496-2347 (5843)
cryingbabydicer87CTR<$100Invested
$1.55
Value
—
PnL
-$1.55
Record
48%
1389-1500 (2889)
MayorMamdani<$100Invested
$1.84
Value
$2.14
PnL
+$0.3
Record
52%
2488-2319 (4807)
0X
0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710CTR<$100Invested
$2.12
Value
—
PnL
-$2.12
Record
42%
1499-2108 (3607)
0X
0x50f7CTR<$100Invested
$0.02
Value
—
PnL
-$0.02
Record
51%
1306-1242 (2548)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x36b26fe7...78fdc5
Slug
bnb-updown-5m-1794659100