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UpUp
MayorMamdani<$100Down
cryingbabydicer87CTR<$100UpUp
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Up — but Down won instead.
BNB Up or Down - November 14, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET
Resolved Down. 80% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
5
Up 80%
Total Value
$3.51
Combined PnL
-$8.01
Smart Money Signal
Up
4 of 5 top traders (80%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Up0%
Down100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Up4 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares31
Combined PnL-$10.01
Down1 trader
Total Value$3.51
Total Shares4
Combined PnL+$2
Up — 80%Down — 20%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
LI Little-bigCTR<$100 | Upavg 51¢ | $6.24 | — | -$6.24 | 51% 896-852 (1748) |
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609CTR<$100 | Upavg 46.2¢ | $2.88 | — | -$2.88 | 51% 2935-2874 (5809) |
MayorMamdani<$100 | Downavg 43¢ | $1.51 | $3.51 | +$2 | 52% 2466-2274 (4740) |
cryingbabydicer87CTR<$100 | Upavg 29¢ | $0.58 | — | -$0.58 | 48% 1372-1476 (2848) |
0X 0x50f7CTR<$100 | Upavg 3¢ | $0.31 | — | -$0.31 | 51% 1292-1224 (2516) |
LI
Little-bigCTR<$100Invested
$6.24
Value
—
PnL
-$6.24
Record
51%
896-852 (1748)
0X
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609CTR<$100Invested
$2.88
Value
—
PnL
-$2.88
Record
51%
2935-2874 (5809)
MayorMamdani<$100Invested
$1.51
Value
$3.51
PnL
+$2
Record
52%
2466-2274 (4740)
cryingbabydicer87CTR<$100Invested
$0.58
Value
—
PnL
-$0.58
Record
48%
1372-1476 (2848)
0X
0x50f7CTR<$100Invested
$0.31
Value
—
PnL
-$0.31
Record
51%
1292-1224 (2516)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x134e4638...4034a4
Slug
bnb-updown-5m-1794650100