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UpDownUpDown
cryingbabydicer87CTR<$100Down
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Down — but Up won instead.
BNB Up or Down - November 14, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET
Resolved Up. 60% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
5
Down 60%
Total Value
$18.24
Combined PnL
$2.35
Smart Money Signal
Down
3 of 5 top traders (60%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Up100%
Down0%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Up2 traders
Total Value$18.24
Total Shares18
Combined PnL+$8.45
Down3 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares17
Combined PnL-$6.1
Up — 40%Down — 60%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
LI Little-big<$100 | Upavg 51¢ | $6.24 | $12.24 | +$6 | 51% 880-838 (1718) |
AA aaa221CTR<$100 | Downavg 39¢ | $4.17 | — | -$4.17 | 60% 3392-2277 (5669) |
0X 0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710<$100 | Upavg 59.2¢ | $3.55 | $6 | +$2.45 | 41% 1415-2011 (3426) |
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609CTR<$100 | Downavg 35¢ | $1.75 | — | -$1.75 | 51% 2884-2810 (5694) |
cryingbabydicer87CTR<$100 | Downavg 15¢ | $0.18 | — | -$0.18 | 48% 1360-1458 (2818) |
LI
Little-big<$100Invested
$6.24
Value
$12.24
PnL
+$6
Record
51%
880-838 (1718)
AA
aaa221CTR<$100Invested
$4.17
Value
—
PnL
-$4.17
Record
60%
3392-2277 (5669)
0X
0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710<$100Invested
$3.55
Value
$6
PnL
+$2.45
Record
41%
1415-2011 (3426)
0X
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609CTR<$100Invested
$1.75
Value
—
PnL
-$1.75
Record
51%
2884-2810 (5694)
cryingbabydicer87CTR<$100Invested
$0.18
Value
—
PnL
-$0.18
Record
48%
1360-1458 (2818)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x9482f54b...c2101b
Slug
bnb-updown-5m-1794643800