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Down
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100UpUpUpDown
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Up — but Down won instead.
BNB Up or Down - November 12, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET
Resolved Down. 60% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
5
Up 60%
Total Value
$29.09
Combined PnL
-$4.24
Smart Money Signal
Up
3 of 5 top traders (60%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Up0%
Down100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Down2 traders
Total Value$29.09
Total Shares29
Combined PnL+$3.78
Up3 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares23
Combined PnL-$8.02
Down — 40%Up — 60%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
HO hoodquant<$100 | Downavg 96¢ | $24 | $25 | +$1 | 98% 2353-45 (2398) |
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100 | Upavg 43.1¢ | $5.1 | — | -$5.1 | 52% 1784-1636 (3420) |
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609CTR<$100 | Upavg 47¢ | $2.82 | — | -$2.82 | 50% 1923-1911 (3834) |
0X 0x50f7CTR<$100 | Upavg 2¢ | $0.1 | — | -$0.1 | 49% 927-964 (1891) |
0X 0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710<$100 | Downavg 32¢ | $1.31 | $4.09 | +$2.78 | 37% 679-1149 (1828) |
HO
hoodquant<$100Invested
$24
Value
$25
PnL
+$1
Record
98%
2353-45 (2398)
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100Invested
$5.1
Value
—
PnL
-$5.1
Record
52%
1784-1636 (3420)
0X
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609CTR<$100Invested
$2.82
Value
—
PnL
-$2.82
Record
50%
1923-1911 (3834)
0X
0x50f7CTR<$100Invested
$0.1
Value
—
PnL
-$0.1
Record
49%
927-964 (1891)
0X
0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710<$100Invested
$1.31
Value
$4.09
PnL
+$2.78
Record
37%
679-1149 (1828)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0xd583e612...816231
Slug
bnb-updown-5m-1794514800