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DownDown
BoneOhio<$100Up
cryingbabydicer87CTR<$100Down
ohioism<$100UpDown
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Down — but Up won instead.
BNB Up or Down - November 11, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET
Resolved Up. 67% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
6
Down 67%
Total Value
$10
Combined PnL
-$9.97
Smart Money Signal
Down
4 of 6 top traders (67%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%6 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Up100%
Down0%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Down4 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares26
Combined PnL-$12.82
Up2 traders
Total Value$10
Total Shares10
Combined PnL+$2.85
Down — 67%Up — 33%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
E8 0xe8d6...c964CTR<$100 | Downavg 59.5¢ | $6.69 | — | -$6.69 | — |
1B 0x1b41...0b56CTR<$100 | Downavg 33¢ | $3.45 | — | -$3.45 | — |
BoneOhio<$100 | Upavg 99¢ | $4.95 | $5 | +$0.05 | 74% 773-277 (1050) |
cryingbabydicer87CTR<$100 | Downavg 26.8¢ | $1.68 | — | -$1.68 | 50% 149-151 (300) |
ohioism<$100 | Upavg 44¢ | $2.2 | $5 | +$2.8 | 49% 1034-1095 (2129) |
UN uninformedflowwCTR<$100 | Downavg 34¢ | $1 | — | -$1 | 49% 786-802 (1588) |
E8
0xe8d6...c964CTR<$100Invested
$6.69
Value
—
PnL
-$6.69
Record
—
1B
0x1b41...0b56CTR<$100Invested
$3.45
Value
—
PnL
-$3.45
Record
—
BoneOhio<$100Invested
$4.95
Value
$5
PnL
+$0.05
Record
74%
773-277 (1050)
cryingbabydicer87CTR<$100Invested
$1.68
Value
—
PnL
-$1.68
Record
50%
149-151 (300)
ohioism<$100Invested
$2.2
Value
$5
PnL
+$2.8
Record
49%
1034-1095 (2129)
UN
uninformedflowwCTR<$100Invested
$1
Value
—
PnL
-$1
Record
49%
786-802 (1588)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0xf04420b5...839dde
Slug
bnb-updown-5m-1794453900