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UpDownUpUpUp
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Up — but Down won instead.
BNB Up or Down - November 11, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET
Resolved Down. 80% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
5
Up 80%
Total Value
$10
Combined PnL
-$4.15
Smart Money Signal
Up
4 of 5 top traders (80%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Up0%
Down100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Up4 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares35
Combined PnL-$11.2
Down1 trader
Total Value$10
Total Shares10
Combined PnL+$7.05
Up — 80%Down — 20%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
E9 0xe907...cff6CTR<$100 | Upavg 24.1¢ | $4.67 | — | -$4.67 | — |
1B 0x1b41...0b56<$100 | Downavg 29.5¢ | $2.95 | $10 | +$7.05 | — |
E8 0xe8d6...c964CTR<$100 | Upavg 52¢ | $2.73 | — | -$2.73 | — |
D8 0xd8f1...74a9CTR<$100 | Upavg 69¢ | $3.45 | — | -$3.45 | — |
5E 0x5e8e...8212CTR<$100 | Upavg 7¢ | $0.35 | — | -$0.35 | — |
E9
0xe907...cff6CTR<$100Invested
$4.67
Value
—
PnL
-$4.67
Record
—
1B
0x1b41...0b56<$100Invested
$2.95
Value
$10
PnL
+$7.05
Record
—
E8
0xe8d6...c964CTR<$100Invested
$2.73
Value
—
PnL
-$2.73
Record
—
D8
0xd8f1...74a9CTR<$100Invested
$3.45
Value
—
PnL
-$3.45
Record
—
5E
0x5e8e...8212CTR<$100Invested
$0.35
Value
—
PnL
-$0.35
Record
—
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x240b1308...2ad091
Slug
bnb-updown-5m-1794447900