Back to Markets
ohioism<$100UpUpDown
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100DownDown
G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100Down
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Down — but Up won instead.
BNB Up or Down - November 10, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET
Resolved Up. 67% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
6
Down 67%
Total Value
$41.36
Combined PnL
-$4.83
Smart Money Signal
Down
4 of 6 top traders (67%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%6 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
Loading chart data…
Outcome Probabilities
Up100%
Down0%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Up2 traders
Total Value$41.36
Total Shares41
Combined PnL+$4.97
Down4 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares66
Combined PnL-$9.8
Up — 33%Down — 67%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
ohioism<$100 | Upavg 81¢ | $24.3 | $30 | +$5.7 | 49% 481-506 (987) |
0X 0x50f7<$100 | Upavg 99¢ | $12.09 | $11.36 | -$0.73 | 43% 273-368 (641) |
UN uninformedflowwCTR<$100 | Downavg 19¢ | $5.7 | — | -$5.7 | 48% 463-495 (958) |
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100 | Downavg 10.1¢ | $1.6 | — | -$1.6 | 53% 619-554 (1173) |
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025CTR<$100 | Downavg 14¢ | $1.4 | — | -$1.4 | 44% 448-560 (1008) |
G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100 | Downavg 11¢ | $1.1 | — | -$1.1 | 44% 467-600 (1067) |
ohioism<$100Invested
$24.3
Value
$30
PnL
+$5.7
Record
49%
481-506 (987)
0X
0x50f7<$100Invested
$12.09
Value
$11.36
PnL
-$0.73
Record
43%
273-368 (641)
UN
uninformedflowwCTR<$100Invested
$5.7
Value
—
PnL
-$5.7
Record
48%
463-495 (958)
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100Invested
$1.6
Value
—
PnL
-$1.6
Record
53%
619-554 (1173)
0X
0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025CTR<$100Invested
$1.4
Value
—
PnL
-$1.4
Record
44%
448-560 (1008)
G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100Invested
$1.1
Value
—
PnL
-$1.1
Record
44%
467-600 (1067)
Chat
Market Info
Condition ID
0x462536df...fb736b
Slug
bnb-updown-5m-1794317700