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Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down

BNB Up or Down - November 2, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET

Resolved Down. 83% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.

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RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

12

Down 83%

Total Value

$953.82

Combined PnL

$0.4

Smart Money Signal

Down

10 of 12 top traders (83%)2 hold an outcome priced under 50%9 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

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Outcome Probabilities

Up0%

Down100%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Up2 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares1,007

Combined PnL-$56.1

Down10 traders

Total Value$953.82

Total Shares954

Combined PnL+$56.51

Up — 17%Down — 83%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
0X 0x50f7CTR<$100	Upavg 5.5¢	$55.1	—	-$55.1	59% 63038-44010 (107048)
HO hoodquant	Downavg 95¢	$289.75	$305	+$15.25	93% 24683-1825 (26508)
0X 0xe3EeB127d5763a6E4aD597f773F9d259C94d5176-1780742904507	Downavg 94¢	$282	$300	+$18	48% 23546-25828 (49374)
MayorMamdani	Downavg 93.5¢	$103.78	$110.99	+$7.21	54% 46428-38813 (85241)
AA aaa221<$100	Downavg 93.4¢	$49.63	$53.15	+$3.52	64% 25621-14222 (39843)
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025<$100	Downavg 94¢	$47	$50	+$3	58% 61291-44750 (106041)
ohioism<$100	Downavg 94¢	$47	$50	+$3	63% 40842-23479 (64321)
UN uninformedfloww<$100	Downavg 92¢	$27.6	$30	+$2.4	57% 72310-55026 (127336)
cryingbabydicer87<$100	Downavg 90.2¢	$22.55	$25	+$2.45	46% 6063-6983 (13046)
UpandDownSyndrome<$100	Downavg 94.5¢	$18.6	$19.68	+$1.08	62% 52780-31682 (84462)
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530<$100	Downavg 94¢	$9.4	$10	+$0.6	56% 58821-45439 (104260)
KA Kathod-Shi-14CTR<$100	Upavg 19¢	$1	—	-$1	55% 18741-15317 (34058)

Invested

$55.1

Value

—

PnL

-$55.1

Record

59%

63038-44010 (107048)

Invested

$289.75

Value

$305

PnL

+$15.25

Record

93%

24683-1825 (26508)

0xe3EeB127d5763a6E4aD597f773F9d259C94d5176-1780742904507

Invested

$282

Value

$300

PnL

+$18

Record

48%

23546-25828 (49374)

Invested

$103.78

Value

$110.99

PnL

+$7.21

Record

54%

46428-38813 (85241)

Invested

$49.63

Value

$53.15

PnL

+$3.52

Record

64%

25621-14222 (39843)

0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025<$100

Invested

$47

Value

$50

PnL

+$3

Record

58%

61291-44750 (106041)

Invested

$47

Value

$50

PnL

+$3

Record

63%

40842-23479 (64321)

uninformedfloww<$100

Invested

$27.6

Value

$30

PnL

+$2.4

Record

57%

72310-55026 (127336)

cryingbabydicer87<$100

Invested

$22.55

Value

$25

PnL

+$2.45

Record

46%

6063-6983 (13046)

UpandDownSyndrome<$100

Invested

$18.6

Value

$19.68

PnL

+$1.08

Record

62%

52780-31682 (84462)

0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530<$100

Invested

$9.4

Value

$10

PnL

+$0.6

Record

56%

58821-45439 (104260)

Kathod-Shi-14CTR<$100

Invested

$1

Value

—

PnL

-$1

Record

55%

18741-15317 (34058)

Smart Money Signal

Down

10 of 12 top traders (83%)2 hold an outcome priced under 50%9 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

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Market Info

Condition ID

0x7443b2d0...394bb7

Slug

bnb-updown-5m-1793603400

Traders in this Market

0x50f7

Up — $0

hoodquant

Down — $305

0xe3EeB127d5763a6E4aD597f773F9d259C94d5176-1780742904507

Down — $300

MayorMamdani

Down — $110.99

aaa221

Down — $53.15

0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025

Down — $50

ohioism

Down — $50

uninformedfloww

Down — $30

cryingbabydicer87

Down — $25

UpandDownSyndrome

Down — $19.68

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