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UpDown
UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100Up
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100UpUp
ohioism<$100Down
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Up — but Down won instead.
BNB Up or Down - October 31, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET
Resolved Down. 67% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
6
Up 67%
Total Value
$40.37
Combined PnL
-$31.22
Smart Money Signal
Up
4 of 6 top traders (67%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%6 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Up0%
Down100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Up4 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares121
Combined PnL-$40.03
Down2 traders
Total Value$40.37
Total Shares40
Combined PnL+$8.81
Up — 67%Down — 33%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
LI Little-bigCTR<$100 | Upavg 38.7¢ | $25.68 | — | -$25.68 | 35% 18950-35949 (54899) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Downavg 86.3¢ | $26.21 | $30.37 | +$4.16 | 64% 24039-13275 (37314) |
UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100 | Upavg 12.2¢ | $3.05 | — | -$3.05 | 63% 52187-31091 (83278) |
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100 | Upavg 38.3¢ | $7.65 | — | -$7.65 | 55% 45436-37823 (83259) |
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025CTR<$100 | Upavg 36.5¢ | $3.65 | — | -$3.65 | 58% 60787-44362 (105149) |
ohioism<$100 | Downavg 53.5¢ | $5.35 | $10 | +$4.65 | 64% 40342-23071 (63413) |
LI
Little-bigCTR<$100Invested
$25.68
Value
—
PnL
-$25.68
Record
35%
18950-35949 (54899)
AA
aaa221<$100Invested
$26.21
Value
$30.37
PnL
+$4.16
Record
64%
24039-13275 (37314)
UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100Invested
$3.05
Value
—
PnL
-$3.05
Record
63%
52187-31091 (83278)
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100Invested
$7.65
Value
—
PnL
-$7.65
Record
55%
45436-37823 (83259)
0X
0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025CTR<$100Invested
$3.65
Value
—
PnL
-$3.65
Record
58%
60787-44362 (105149)
ohioism<$100Invested
$5.35
Value
$10
PnL
+$4.65
Record
64%
40342-23071 (63413)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x6cd65caf...d651d9
Slug
bnb-updown-5m-1793461200