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MayorMamdaniARB<$100UpDownUp
UpandDownSyndrome<$100UpUp
G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100Down
Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up
BNB Up or Down - October 31, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET
Resolved Up. 60% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.
RESOLVED
🏆
Won
Consensus Traders
5
Up 60%
1 arb excluded
Total Value
$218.16
Combined PnL
-$30.06
Smart Money Signal
Up
3 of 5 top traders (60%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed2 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Up100%
Down0%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Down2 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares114
Combined PnL-$52.98
Up3 traders
Total Value$129.16
Total Shares129
Combined PnL+$22.92
Down — 40%Up — 60%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
MayorMamdaniARB<$100 | Upavg 86.1¢ | $95.33 | $89 | -$6.33 | 55% 45398-37789 (83187) |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 86.1¢ | $76.65 | $89 | +$12.35 | |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 38.4¢ | $18.68 | — | -$18.68 | |
LI Little-bigCTR<$100 | Downavg 55.6¢ | $52.38 | — | -$52.38 | 35% 18938-35934 (54872) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Upavg 69.6¢ | $47.04 | $60 | +$13.59 | 64% 23991-13230 (37221) |
UpandDownSyndrome<$100 | Upavg 93¢ | $36.43 | $39.16 | +$2.73 | 63% 52172-31048 (83220) |
UN uninformedfloww<$100 | Upavg 78¢ | $23.4 | $30 | +$6.6 | 57% 71206-54306 (125512) |
G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100 | Downavg 3¢ | $0.6 | — | -$0.6 | 62% 43966-26982 (70948) |
MayorMamdaniARB<$100Invested
$95.33
Value
$89
PnL
-$6.33
Record
55%
45398-37789 (83187)
Both legs:
Up$76.6586.1¢+$12.35
Down$18.6838.4¢-$18.68
LI
Little-bigCTR<$100Invested
$52.38
Value
—
PnL
-$52.38
Record
35%
18938-35934 (54872)
AA
aaa221<$100Invested
$47.04
Value
$60
PnL
+$13.59
Record
64%
23991-13230 (37221)
UpandDownSyndrome<$100Invested
$36.43
Value
$39.16
PnL
+$2.73
Record
63%
52172-31048 (83220)
UN
uninformedfloww<$100Invested
$23.4
Value
$30
PnL
+$6.6
Record
57%
71206-54306 (125512)
G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100Invested
$0.6
Value
—
PnL
-$0.6
Record
62%
43966-26982 (70948)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x705b24dd...4c97a0
Slug
bnb-updown-5m-1793455500