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UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100Down
MayorMamdani<$100UpUpDownDown
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Down — but Up won instead.
BNB Up or Down - October 31, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET
Resolved Up. 60% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
5
Down 60%
Total Value
$29.63
Combined PnL
$1.92
Smart Money Signal
Down
3 of 5 top traders (60%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Up100%
Down0%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Down3 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares181
Combined PnL-$4.48
Up2 traders
Total Value$29.63
Total Shares30
Combined PnL+$6.4
Down — 60%Up — 40%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100 | Downavg 1.5¢ | $2.69 | — | -$2.69 | 63% 52172-31048 (83220) |
MayorMamdani<$100 | Upavg 73.4¢ | $20.58 | $23.63 | +$3.05 | 55% 45398-37789 (83187) |
UN uninformedfloww<$100 | Upavg 44.2¢ | $2.65 | $6 | +$3.35 | 57% 71206-54306 (125512) |
0X 0x50f7CTR<$100 | Downavg 3¢ | $0.15 | — | -$0.15 | 59% 62455-43604 (106059) |
AA aaa221CTR<$100 | Downavg 61¢ | $1.64 | — | -$1.64 | 64% 23991-13230 (37221) |
UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100Invested
$2.69
Value
—
PnL
-$2.69
Record
63%
52172-31048 (83220)
MayorMamdani<$100Invested
$20.58
Value
$23.63
PnL
+$3.05
Record
55%
45398-37789 (83187)
UN
uninformedfloww<$100Invested
$2.65
Value
$6
PnL
+$3.35
Record
57%
71206-54306 (125512)
0X
0x50f7CTR<$100Invested
$0.15
Value
—
PnL
-$0.15
Record
59%
62455-43604 (106059)
AA
aaa221CTR<$100Invested
$1.64
Value
—
PnL
-$1.64
Record
64%
23991-13230 (37221)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x8beeb67e...2ee27d
Slug
bnb-updown-5m-1793454300