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Up
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100DownDown
ohioismCTR<$100DownDown
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Down — but Up won instead.
BNB Up or Down - October 31, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET
Resolved Up. 80% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
5
Down 80%
Total Value
$131.74
Combined PnL
$100.92
Smart Money Signal
Down
4 of 5 top traders (80%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%4 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Up100%
Down0%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Up1 trader
Total Value$131.74
Total Shares132
Combined PnL+$126.47
Down4 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares33
Combined PnL-$25.55
Up — 20%Down — 80%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0x50f7 | Upavg 4¢ | $5.27 | $131.74 | +$126.47 | 59% 62446-43593 (106039) |
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100 | Downavg 73.4¢ | $8.2 | — | -$8.2 | 55% 45345-37754 (83099) |
AA aaa221CTR<$100 | Downavg 89¢ | $8.96 | — | -$8.96 | 64% 23928-13193 (37121) |
ohioismCTR<$100 | Downavg 70¢ | $6.3 | — | -$6.3 | 64% 40299-23045 (63344) |
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025CTR<$100 | Downavg 74¢ | $2.09 | — | -$2.09 | 58% 60750-44342 (105092) |
0X
0x50f7Invested
$5.27
Value
$131.74
PnL
+$126.47
Record
59%
62446-43593 (106039)
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100Invested
$8.2
Value
—
PnL
-$8.2
Record
55%
45345-37754 (83099)
AA
aaa221CTR<$100Invested
$8.96
Value
—
PnL
-$8.96
Record
64%
23928-13193 (37121)
ohioismCTR<$100Invested
$6.3
Value
—
PnL
-$6.3
Record
64%
40299-23045 (63344)
0X
0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025CTR<$100Invested
$2.09
Value
—
PnL
-$2.09
Record
58%
60750-44342 (105092)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x10c198da...8af354
Slug
bnb-updown-5m-1793447100