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MayorMamdaniCTRDownUp
UpandDownSyndrome<$100UpDownUp
BoneOhioCTR<$100Down
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Down — but Up won instead.
BNB Up or Down - October 31, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET
Resolved Up. 50% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
6
Down 50%
Total Value
$198.18
Combined PnL
$8.35
Smart Money Signal
Down
3 of 6 top traders (50%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%4 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Up100%
Down0%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Down3 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares168
Combined PnL-$119.02
Up3 traders
Total Value$198.18
Total Shares198
Combined PnL+$127.37
Down — 50%Up — 50%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
MayorMamdaniCTR | Downavg 70.8¢ | $100.77 | — | -$100.77 | 55% 45345-37754 (83099) |
LI Little-big | Upavg 32.2¢ | $53.2 | $165 | +$111.8 | 35% 18929-35926 (54855) |
UpandDownSyndrome<$100 | Upavg 57.9¢ | $16.3 | $28.17 | +$11.87 | 63% 52154-31006 (83160) |
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025CTR<$100 | Downavg 49.8¢ | $3.24 | — | -$3.24 | 58% 60750-44342 (105092) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530<$100 | Upavg 26¢ | $1.31 | $5.01 | +$3.7 | 56% 58298-44982 (103280) |
BoneOhioCTR<$100 | Downavg 72¢ | $15 | — | -$15 | 74% 102692-36455 (139147) |
MayorMamdaniCTRInvested
$100.77
Value
—
PnL
-$100.77
Record
55%
45345-37754 (83099)
LI
Little-bigInvested
$53.2
Value
$165
PnL
+$111.8
Record
35%
18929-35926 (54855)
UpandDownSyndrome<$100Invested
$16.3
Value
$28.17
PnL
+$11.87
Record
63%
52154-31006 (83160)
0X
0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025CTR<$100Invested
$3.24
Value
—
PnL
-$3.24
Record
58%
60750-44342 (105092)
0X
0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530<$100Invested
$1.31
Value
$5.01
PnL
+$3.7
Record
56%
58298-44982 (103280)
BoneOhioCTR<$100Invested
$15
Value
—
PnL
-$15
Record
74%
102692-36455 (139147)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x8e594e0f...194eca
Slug
bnb-updown-5m-1793446800