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UpDownDownDownDown
UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100Down
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Down — but Up won instead.
BNB Up or Down - October 31, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET
Resolved Up. 83% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
6
Down 83%
Total Value
$30.61
Combined PnL
-$9.79
Smart Money Signal
Down
5 of 6 top traders (83%)5 hold an outcome priced under 50%6 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Up100%
Down0%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Up1 trader
Total Value$30.61
Total Shares31
Combined PnL+$16.55
Down5 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares36
Combined PnL-$26.34
Up — 17%Down — 83%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
AA aaa221<$100 | Upavg 45.9¢ | $14.07 | $30.61 | +$16.55 | 64% 23759-13098 (36857) |
AL almachCTR<$100 | Downavg 84¢ | $8.4 | — | -$8.4 | 55% 48556-40105 (88661) |
BO bosonaCTR<$100 | Downavg 84¢ | $7.35 | — | -$7.35 | 55% 49831-40051 (89882) |
MO mo-moneyCTR<$100 | Downavg 84¢ | $5.25 | — | -$5.25 | 55% 50645-41244 (91889) |
0X 0xe3EeB127d5763a6E4aD597f773F9d259C94d5176-1780742904507CTR<$100 | Downavg 83¢ | $4.89 | — | -$4.89 | 48% 23429-25738 (49167) |
UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100 | Downavg 9¢ | $0.45 | — | -$0.45 | 63% 52106-30898 (83004) |
AA
aaa221<$100Invested
$14.07
Value
$30.61
PnL
+$16.55
Record
64%
23759-13098 (36857)
AL
almachCTR<$100Invested
$8.4
Value
—
PnL
-$8.4
Record
55%
48556-40105 (88661)
BO
bosonaCTR<$100Invested
$7.35
Value
—
PnL
-$7.35
Record
55%
49831-40051 (89882)
MO
mo-moneyCTR<$100Invested
$5.25
Value
—
PnL
-$5.25
Record
55%
50645-41244 (91889)
0X
0xe3EeB127d5763a6E4aD597f773F9d259C94d5176-1780742904507CTR<$100Invested
$4.89
Value
—
PnL
-$4.89
Record
48%
23429-25738 (49167)
UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100Invested
$0.45
Value
—
PnL
-$0.45
Record
63%
52106-30898 (83004)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x35cc3047...e244fd
Slug
bnb-updown-5m-1793428800