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DownDownDownUp
UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100DownUpUp
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Down — but Up won instead.
BNB Up or Down - October 30, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET
Resolved Up. 57% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
7
Down 57%
Total Value
$27.67
Combined PnL
-$346.28
Smart Money Signal
Down
4 of 7 top traders (57%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%6 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Up100%
Down0%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Down4 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares439
Combined PnL-$350.84
Up3 traders
Total Value$27.67
Total Shares28
Combined PnL+$4.56
Down — 57%Up — 43%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0xe3EeB127d5763a6E4aD597f773F9d259C94d5176-1780742904507CTR | Downavg 77.7¢ | $413.11 | — | -$272.27 | 48% 23338-25669 (49007) |
AA aaa221CTR<$100 | Downavg 72¢ | $78.32 | — | -$72.52 | 64% 23528-12966 (36494) |
KA Kathod-Shi-14CTR<$100 | Downavg 55¢ | $5.6 | — | -$5.6 | 55% 17960-14549 (32509) |
0X 0x50f7<$100 | Upavg 99¢ | $14.02 | $14.16 | +$0.14 | 59% 62333-43508 (105841) |
UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100 | Downavg 4.5¢ | $0.45 | — | -$0.45 | 63% 52043-30715 (82758) |
BO bosona<$100 | Upavg 77¢ | $6.36 | $8.26 | +$1.9 | 55% 49771-39994 (89765) |
LI Little-big<$100 | Upavg 52¢ | $2.73 | $5.25 | +$2.52 | 34% 18858-35853 (54711) |
0X
0xe3EeB127d5763a6E4aD597f773F9d259C94d5176-1780742904507CTRInvested
$413.11
Value
—
PnL
-$272.27
Record
48%
23338-25669 (49007)
AA
aaa221CTR<$100Invested
$78.32
Value
—
PnL
-$72.52
Record
64%
23528-12966 (36494)
KA
Kathod-Shi-14CTR<$100Invested
$5.6
Value
—
PnL
-$5.6
Record
55%
17960-14549 (32509)
0X
0x50f7<$100Invested
$14.02
Value
$14.16
PnL
+$0.14
Record
59%
62333-43508 (105841)
UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100Invested
$0.45
Value
—
PnL
-$0.45
Record
63%
52043-30715 (82758)
BO
bosona<$100Invested
$6.36
Value
$8.26
PnL
+$1.9
Record
55%
49771-39994 (89765)
LI
Little-big<$100Invested
$2.73
Value
$5.25
PnL
+$2.52
Record
34%
18858-35853 (54711)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x7bb5e57b...d22b40
Slug
bnb-updown-5m-1793402100