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DownUp
UpandDownSyndrome<$100DownUpDownUp Trade on Polymarket
Consensus Lost β
Smart money consensus was Up β but Down won instead.

BNB Up or Down - October 30, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET
Resolved Down. 50% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
π
Lost
Consensus Traders
6
Up 60%
Total Value
$222.67
Combined PnL
$64.98
Smart Money Signal
Up
3 of 6 top traders (50%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%4 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
Loading chart dataβ¦
Outcome Probabilities
Up0%
Down100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Down3 traders
Total Value$222.67
Total Shares223
Combined PnL+$137.33
Up3 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares103
Combined PnL-$72.35
Down β 50%Up β 50%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
LI Little-big | Downavg 37.4Β’ | $74.84 | $200 | +$125.16 | 34% 18858-35853 (54711) |
AA aaa221CTR<$100 | Upavg 62.8Β’ | $60.69 | β | -$51.42 | 64% 23528-12966 (36494) |
![]() UpandDownSyndrome<$100 | Downavg 46.3Β’ | $10.5 | $22.67 | +$12.17 | 63% 52043-30715 (82758) |
KA Kathod-Shi-14CTR<$100 | Upavg 59Β’ | $6 | β | -$6 | 55% 17960-14549 (32509) |
0X 0x50f7<$100 | Downavg 2Β’ | β | β | +$0 | 59% 62333-43508 (105841) |
0X 0xe3EeB127d5763a6E4aD597f773F9d259C94d5176-1780742904507CTR | Upavg 45.8Β’ | $268.75 | β | -$14.93 | 48% 23338-25669 (49007) |
LI
Little-bigInvested
$74.84
Value
$200
PnL
+$125.16
Record
34%
18858-35853 (54711)
AA
aaa221CTR<$100Invested
$60.69
Value
β
PnL
-$51.42
Record
64%
23528-12966 (36494)
UpandDownSyndrome<$100Invested
$10.5
Value
$22.67
PnL
+$12.17
Record
63%
52043-30715 (82758)
KA
Kathod-Shi-14CTR<$100Invested
$6
Value
β
PnL
-$6
Record
55%
17960-14549 (32509)
0X
0x50f7<$100Invested
β
Value
β
PnL
+$0
Record
59%
62333-43508 (105841)
0X
0xe3EeB127d5763a6E4aD597f773F9d259C94d5176-1780742904507CTRInvested
$268.75
Value
β
PnL
-$14.93
Record
48%
23338-25669 (49007)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x76e807a6...03f561
Slug
bnb-updown-5m-1793397300