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BoneOhioCTR<$100UpUpDownDownUp
MayorMamdani<$100DownUp
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Up — but Down won instead.
BNB Up or Down - October 30, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET
Resolved Down. 57% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
7
Up 50%
Total Value
$11.92
Combined PnL
-$0.92
Smart Money Signal
Up
4 of 7 top traders (57%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%7 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Up0%
Down100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Up4 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares13
Combined PnL-$2.14
Down3 traders
Total Value$11.92
Total Shares12
Combined PnL+$1.23
Up — 57%Down — 43%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
BoneOhioCTR<$100 | Upavg 13¢ | $0.65 | — | -$0.65 | 74% 102547-36416 (138963) |
UN uninformedflowwCTR<$100 | Upavg 19¢ | $0.94 | — | -$0.94 | 57% 70922-54007 (124929) |
KA Kathod-Shi-14<$100 | Downavg 90¢ | $4.5 | $5 | +$0.5 | 55% 17817-14432 (32249) |
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025<$100 | Downavg 87¢ | $4.35 | $5 | +$0.65 | 58% 60561-44221 (104782) |
AA aaa221CTR<$100 | Upavg 19.3¢ | $0.48 | — | -$0.48 | 64% 23273-12819 (36092) |
MayorMamdani<$100 | Downavg 96¢ | $1.84 | $1.92 | +$0.08 | 55% 44953-37390 (82343) |
0X 0x50f7CTR<$100 | Upavg 2¢ | $0 | — | -$0.08 | 59% 62257-43437 (105694) |
BoneOhioCTR<$100Invested
$0.65
Value
—
PnL
-$0.65
Record
74%
102547-36416 (138963)
UN
uninformedflowwCTR<$100Invested
$0.94
Value
—
PnL
-$0.94
Record
57%
70922-54007 (124929)
KA
Kathod-Shi-14<$100Invested
$4.5
Value
$5
PnL
+$0.5
Record
55%
17817-14432 (32249)
0X
0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025<$100Invested
$4.35
Value
$5
PnL
+$0.65
Record
58%
60561-44221 (104782)
AA
aaa221CTR<$100Invested
$0.48
Value
—
PnL
-$0.48
Record
64%
23273-12819 (36092)
MayorMamdani<$100Invested
$1.84
Value
$1.92
PnL
+$0.08
Record
55%
44953-37390 (82343)
0X
0x50f7CTR<$100Invested
$0
Value
—
PnL
-$0.08
Record
59%
62257-43437 (105694)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0xec9eec11...9481c7
Slug
bnb-updown-5m-1793376000