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Down
UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100Down
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100DownDownUp
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Down — but Up won instead.
BNB Up or Down - October 30, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET
Resolved Up. 80% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
5
Down 80%
Total Value
$2.06
Combined PnL
-$30.91
Smart Money Signal
Down
4 of 5 top traders (80%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Up100%
Down0%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Down4 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares63
Combined PnL-$32.91
Up1 trader
Total Value$2.06
Total Shares2
Combined PnL+$2
Down — 80%Up — 20%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
AA aaa221CTR<$100 | Downavg 82.7¢ | $26.08 | — | -$26.08 | 64% 22856-12613 (35469) |
UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100 | Downavg 9¢ | $1.38 | — | -$1.38 | 63% 51772-30494 (82266) |
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100 | Downavg 23¢ | $2.72 | — | -$2.72 | 55% 44748-37210 (81958) |
LI Little-bigCTR<$100 | Downavg 52¢ | $2.73 | — | -$2.73 | 34% 18742-35744 (54486) |
0X 0x50f7<$100 | Upavg 3¢ | $0.06 | $2.06 | +$2 | 59% 62167-43333 (105500) |
AA
aaa221CTR<$100Invested
$26.08
Value
—
PnL
-$26.08
Record
64%
22856-12613 (35469)
UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100Invested
$1.38
Value
—
PnL
-$1.38
Record
63%
51772-30494 (82266)
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100Invested
$2.72
Value
—
PnL
-$2.72
Record
55%
44748-37210 (81958)
LI
Little-bigCTR<$100Invested
$2.73
Value
—
PnL
-$2.73
Record
34%
18742-35744 (54486)
0X
0x50f7<$100Invested
$0.06
Value
$2.06
PnL
+$2
Record
59%
62167-43333 (105500)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x5e0676bc...fa8c60
Slug
bnb-updown-5m-1793333100