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MayorMamdani<$100DownUpUp
ohioismCTR<$100Up
UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100UpUp
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Up — but Down won instead.
BNB Up or Down - October 29, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET
Resolved Down. 83% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
6
Up 83%
Total Value
$43.88
Combined PnL
-$43.64
Smart Money Signal
Up
5 of 6 top traders (83%)5 hold an outcome priced under 50%6 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Up0%
Down100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Down1 trader
Total Value$43.88
Total Shares44
Combined PnL+$17.77
Up5 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares166
Combined PnL-$61.42
Down — 17%Up — 83%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
MayorMamdani<$100 | Downavg 59.5¢ | $26.1 | $43.88 | +$17.77 | 55% 44647-37116 (81763) |
0X 0xe3EeB127d5763a6E4aD597f773F9d259C94d5176-1780742904507CTR<$100 | Upavg 15¢ | $10.34 | — | -$10.34 | 48% 23215-25459 (48674) |
AA aaa221CTR<$100 | Upavg 53.3¢ | $34.19 | — | -$30.34 | 64% 22669-12483 (35152) |
ohioismCTR<$100 | Upavg 72¢ | $16.31 | — | -$16.31 | 64% 39932-22817 (62749) |
UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100 | Upavg 4.6¢ | $1.58 | — | -$1.58 | 63% 51691-30414 (82105) |
LI Little-bigCTR<$100 | Upavg 57¢ | $2.85 | — | -$2.85 | 34% 18702-35698 (54400) |
MayorMamdani<$100Invested
$26.1
Value
$43.88
PnL
+$17.77
Record
55%
44647-37116 (81763)
0X
0xe3EeB127d5763a6E4aD597f773F9d259C94d5176-1780742904507CTR<$100Invested
$10.34
Value
—
PnL
-$10.34
Record
48%
23215-25459 (48674)
AA
aaa221CTR<$100Invested
$34.19
Value
—
PnL
-$30.34
Record
64%
22669-12483 (35152)
ohioismCTR<$100Invested
$16.31
Value
—
PnL
-$16.31
Record
64%
39932-22817 (62749)
UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100Invested
$1.58
Value
—
PnL
-$1.58
Record
63%
51691-30414 (82105)
LI
Little-bigCTR<$100Invested
$2.85
Value
—
PnL
-$2.85
Record
34%
18702-35698 (54400)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x70ccaf86...97ddb9
Slug
bnb-updown-5m-1793316600