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DownDown
G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100Up
MayorMamdani<$100DownUp
ohioism<$100DownDown
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Up — but Down won instead.
BNB Up or Down - October 29, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET
Resolved Down. 29% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
7
Up 29%
Total Value
$210.04
Combined PnL
-$130.89
Smart Money Signal
Up
2 of 7 top traders (29%)2 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Up0%
Down100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Down5 traders
Total Value$210.04
Total Shares210
Combined PnL+$54.98
Up2 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares339
Combined PnL-$185.87
Down — 71%Up — 29%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
LI Little-big | Downavg 36¢ | $57.94 | $100 | +$42.06 | 34% 18700-35695 (54395) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Downavg 82.4¢ | $75.18 | $59.99 | +$6.47 | 64% 22658-12474 (35132) |
G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100 | Upavg 7.4¢ | $3.79 | — | -$3.79 | 62% 43713-26708 (70421) |
MayorMamdani<$100 | Downavg 43¢ | $6.78 | $11.09 | +$4.31 | 55% 44643-37114 (81757) |
0X 0xe3EeB127d5763a6E4aD597f773F9d259C94d5176-1780742904507CTR | Upavg 62.5¢ | $185.77 | — | -$182.08 | 48% 23215-25456 (48671) |
ohioism<$100 | Downavg 94¢ | $18.31 | $19.48 | +$1.17 | 64% 39931-22816 (62747) |
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025<$100 | Downavg 95¢ | $18.51 | $19.48 | +$0.97 | 58% 60375-44064 (104439) |
LI
Little-bigInvested
$57.94
Value
$100
PnL
+$42.06
Record
34%
18700-35695 (54395)
AA
aaa221<$100Invested
$75.18
Value
$59.99
PnL
+$6.47
Record
64%
22658-12474 (35132)
G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100Invested
$3.79
Value
—
PnL
-$3.79
Record
62%
43713-26708 (70421)
MayorMamdani<$100Invested
$6.78
Value
$11.09
PnL
+$4.31
Record
55%
44643-37114 (81757)
0X
0xe3EeB127d5763a6E4aD597f773F9d259C94d5176-1780742904507CTRInvested
$185.77
Value
—
PnL
-$182.08
Record
48%
23215-25456 (48671)
ohioism<$100Invested
$18.31
Value
$19.48
PnL
+$1.17
Record
64%
39931-22816 (62747)
0X
0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025<$100Invested
$18.51
Value
$19.48
PnL
+$0.97
Record
58%
60375-44064 (104439)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x7a7a6848...d63e89
Slug
bnb-updown-5m-1793305800