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Up
MayorMamdaniDown
G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100UpDown
UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100UpDown
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Up — but Down won instead.
BNB Up or Down - October 29, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET
Resolved Down. 50% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
6
Up 50%
Total Value
$127.96
Combined PnL
-$73.89
Smart Money Signal
Up
3 of 6 top traders (50%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
Loading chart data…
Outcome Probabilities
Up0%
Down100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Up3 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares321
Combined PnL-$94.95
Down3 traders
Total Value$127.96
Total Shares128
Combined PnL+$21.06
Up — 50%Down — 50%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0xe3EeB127d5763a6E4aD597f773F9d259C94d5176-1780742904507CTR<$100 | Upavg 32.4¢ | $93.6 | — | -$93.6 | 48% 23211-25441 (48652) |
MayorMamdani | Downavg 84.2¢ | $92.97 | $110.39 | +$17.41 | 55% 44610-37084 (81694) |
G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100 | Upavg 2.6¢ | $0.65 | — | -$0.65 | 62% 43705-26697 (70402) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Downavg 94¢ | $9.94 | $10.57 | +$0.63 | 64% 22587-12434 (35021) |
UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100 | Upavg 10¢ | $0.7 | — | -$0.7 | 63% 51644-30399 (82043) |
LI Little-big<$100 | Downavg 57¢ | $3.99 | $7 | +$3.01 | 34% 18690-35687 (54377) |
0X
0xe3EeB127d5763a6E4aD597f773F9d259C94d5176-1780742904507CTR<$100Invested
$93.6
Value
—
PnL
-$93.6
Record
48%
23211-25441 (48652)
MayorMamdaniInvested
$92.97
Value
$110.39
PnL
+$17.41
Record
55%
44610-37084 (81694)
G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100Invested
$0.65
Value
—
PnL
-$0.65
Record
62%
43705-26697 (70402)
AA
aaa221<$100Invested
$9.94
Value
$10.57
PnL
+$0.63
Record
64%
22587-12434 (35021)
UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100Invested
$0.7
Value
—
PnL
-$0.7
Record
63%
51644-30399 (82043)
LI
Little-big<$100Invested
$3.99
Value
$7
PnL
+$3.01
Record
34%
18690-35687 (54377)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0xe8cc694b...6c843d
Slug
bnb-updown-5m-1793304300