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MayorMamdaniCTR<$100UpDown
UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100UpUpUp
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Up — but Down won instead.
BNB Up or Down - October 28, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET
Resolved Down. 80% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
5
Up 80%
Total Value
$14
Combined PnL
-$3.49
Smart Money Signal
Up
4 of 5 top traders (80%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Up0%
Down100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Up4 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares41
Combined PnL-$4.89
Down1 trader
Total Value$14
Total Shares14
Combined PnL+$1.4
Up — 80%Down — 20%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100 | Upavg 9.9¢ | $1.5 | — | -$1.5 | 55% 44309-36802 (81111) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Downavg 90¢ | $12.6 | $14 | +$1.4 | 65% 22059-12128 (34187) |
UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100 | Upavg 8¢ | $1 | — | -$1 | 63% 51408-30257 (81665) |
0X 0xe3EeB127d5763a6E4aD597f773F9d259C94d5176-1780742904507CTR<$100 | Upavg 14¢ | $0.98 | — | -$0.98 | 48% 23122-25284 (48406) |
UN uninformedflowwCTR<$100 | Upavg 22¢ | $1.41 | — | -$1.41 | 57% 70079-53264 (123343) |
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100Invested
$1.5
Value
—
PnL
-$1.5
Record
55%
44309-36802 (81111)
AA
aaa221<$100Invested
$12.6
Value
$14
PnL
+$1.4
Record
65%
22059-12128 (34187)
UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100Invested
$1
Value
—
PnL
-$1
Record
63%
51408-30257 (81665)
0X
0xe3EeB127d5763a6E4aD597f773F9d259C94d5176-1780742904507CTR<$100Invested
$0.98
Value
—
PnL
-$0.98
Record
48%
23122-25284 (48406)
UN
uninformedflowwCTR<$100Invested
$1.41
Value
—
PnL
-$1.41
Record
57%
70079-53264 (123343)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x04b9f7ee...882890
Slug
bnb-updown-5m-1793245800